Novohrad Lučenec vs Podkonice: prediction and stats
3. liga - CenterCentral - 5Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Mestský štadión, Lučenec
The Footlab model makes Novohrad Lučenec the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Podkonice. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Novohrad Lučenec vs Podkonice?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Novohrad Lučenec (1,507) and Podkonice (1,493).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Novohrad Lučenec have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Podkonice have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Čadca(home) | 3-1 | 3. liga - Center |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Fiľakovo(away) | 0-1 | 3. liga - Center |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rimavská Sobota(home) | 1-2 | 3. liga - Center |
| May 30, 2026 | Fiľakovo(away) | 1-3 | 3. liga - Center |
| May 23, 2026 | Námestovo(home) | 1-1 | 3. liga - Center |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Tatran Krásno(away) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Oravské Veselé(away) | 1-3 | 3. liga - Center |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Čadca(home) | 3-0 | 3. liga - Center |
| May 30, 2026 | MFK Bytča(home) | 0-2 | 3. liga - Center |
| May 23, 2026 | Baník Kalinovo(away) | 0-2 | 3. liga - Center |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Novohrad Lučenec win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Podkonice win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Podkonice 1-2 Novohrad Lučenec | 3. liga - Center |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Novohrad Lučenec 4-1 Podkonice | 3. liga - Center |
| Jun 11, 2022 | Novohrad Lučenec 2-0 Podkonice | 3. liga - Center |
| Oct 16, 2021 | Podkonice 1-0 Novohrad Lučenec | 3. liga - Center |
Last archived meeting: Podkonice vs Novohrad Lučenec on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Novohrad Lučenec score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Podkonice score 1.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novohrad Lučenec | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Podkonice | 1.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Novohrad Lučenec sit 4th in 3. liga - Center (43 points from 26 matches) and Podkonice sit 9th (34 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Novohrad Lučenec | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 39 | 33 | 43 |
| 9 | Podkonice | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 40 | 40 | 34 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Novohrad Lučenec vs Podkonice?
- The Footlab model makes Novohrad Lučenec the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Podkonice.
- Where and when is Novohrad Lučenec vs Podkonice played?
- Novohrad Lučenec vs Podkonice is played on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Mestský štadión, in the 3. liga - Center.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.