Novorizontino vs Comercial: result 2-0 and analysis
Paulista - A21st Phase - 3Kick-off on January 20, 2023 at 10:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi, Novo Horizonte, São Paulo
Full time
What was the result of Novorizontino vs Comercial?
Novorizontino won 2-0 on January 20, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 69′AylonNovorizontino
- 90′Douglas BaggioNovorizontino
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Novorizontino have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Comercial have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2023 | Monte Azul(home) | 2-1 | Paulista - A2 |
| Jan 15, 2023 | Portuguesa Santista(away) | 2-4 | Paulista - A2 |
| Nov 6, 2022 | Operario-PR(away) | 3-0 | Serie B |
| Oct 27, 2022 | Cruzeiro(home) | 1-4 | Serie B |
| Oct 18, 2022 | Brusque(away) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2023 | Primavera SP(away) | 0-2 | Paulista - A2 |
| Jan 14, 2023 | Linense(home) | 0-0 | Paulista - A2 |
| Sep 3, 2022 | Noroeste(away) | 0-1 | Copa Paulista |
| Aug 30, 2022 | Botafogo SP B(home) | 1-3 | Copa Paulista |
| Aug 20, 2022 | Marília(away) | 0-0 | Copa Paulista |
How many goals should we expect?
Novorizontino score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Comercial score 0.8 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novorizontino | 1.5 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Comercial | 0.8 | 1.2 | 5 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy