Novorizontino vs Comercial: result 2-0 and analysis
Paulista - A21st Phase - 3Kick-off on January 20, 2023 at 10:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi, Novo Horizonte, São Paulo
Full time
What was the result of Novorizontino vs Comercial?
Novorizontino won 2-0 on January 20, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 69′AylonNovorizontino
- 90′Douglas BaggioNovorizontino
Official lineup for Novorizontino vs Comercial
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Novorizontino
- RRonaldo
- AAylon
- DDouglas Baggio
- BBruno Silva
- MMarlon
- RRicardinho
- RRoberto
- WWillean Lepo
- GGuilherme Matos
- LLuis Fellipe
- GGeorgemy
Comercial
- TTúlio Renan
- RRafael Ibiapino
- RRomário
- VVictor Bolt
- GGuilherme
- LLuis Roberto
- RRenan
- BBrayan
- TThiago Moura
- MMichael
- JJeferson Souza
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Novorizontino have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Comercial have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2023 | Monte Azul(home) | 2-1 | Paulista - A2 |
| Jan 15, 2023 | Portuguesa Santista(away) | 2-4 | Paulista - A2 |
| Nov 6, 2022 | Operario-PR(away) | 3-0 | Serie B |
| Oct 27, 2022 | Cruzeiro(home) | 1-4 | Serie B |
| Oct 18, 2022 | Brusque(away) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2023 | Primavera SP(away) | 0-2 | Paulista - A2 |
| Jan 14, 2023 | Linense(home) | 0-0 | Paulista - A2 |
| Sep 3, 2022 | Noroeste(away) | 0-1 | Copa Paulista |
| Aug 30, 2022 | Botafogo SP B(home) | 1-3 | Copa Paulista |
| Aug 20, 2022 | Marília(away) | 0-0 | Copa Paulista |
How many goals should we expect?
Novorizontino score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Comercial score 0.8 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novorizontino | 1.5 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Comercial | 0.8 | 1.2 | 5 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Novorizontino vs Comercial?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy