Nový Jičín vs Vratimov: prediction and stats
4. liga - Divizie FDivision F - 13Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion TJ Nový Jičín, Nový Jičín
The Footlab model makes Vratimov the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Nový Jičín. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nový Jičín vs Vratimov?
Vratimov starts as the favourite with a 179-point Elo edge (1,721 vs 1,542).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nový Jičín have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Vratimov have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Opava II(home) | 2-5 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Frýdlant(away) | 1-0 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stonava(home) | 2-2 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Belotin(away) | 0-4 | Cup |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Zabreh(away) | 2-7 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Valašské Meziříčí(home) | 2-0 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Frydek-Mistek B(away) | 3-1 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Jiskra Rýmařov(home) | 1-2 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Havířov(home) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Šumperk(home) | 2-0 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Nový Jičín win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Vratimov win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Vratimov 1-0 Nový Jičín | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Nový Jičín 1-1 Vratimov | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Nový Jičín 0-0 Vratimov | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Vratimov 2-1 Nový Jičín | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Jul 27, 2024 | Nový Jičín 0-1 Vratimov | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Vratimov vs Nový Jičín on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nový Jičín score 1.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Vratimov score 2.1 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nový Jičín | 1.2 | 1.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Vratimov | 2.1 | 0.8 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nový Jičín sit 5th in 4. liga - Divizie F (4 points from 2 matches) and Vratimov sit 8th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nový Jičín | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Vratimov | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 8 | Vratimov | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 10 | Nový Jičín | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nový Jičín vs Vratimov?
- The Footlab model makes Vratimov the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Nový Jičín.
- Where and when is Nový Jičín vs Vratimov played?
- Nový Jičín vs Vratimov is played on October 25, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion TJ Nový Jičín, in the 4. liga - Divizie F.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.