Nublense vs Aucas: result 2-1 and analysis
CONMEBOL LibertadoresGroup Stage - 3Kick-off on May 2, 2023 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Alcaldesa Ester Roa Rebolledo, Concepción
Full time
What was the result of Nublense vs Aucas?
Nublense won 2-1 on May 2, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 24′R. OteroAucas
- 79′P. RubioNublense
- 90′A. VilchesNublense
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nublense have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Aucas have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2023 | Palestino(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Apr 25, 2023 | A. Italiano(home) | 2-5 | Primera División |
| Apr 20, 2023 | Flamengo(away) | 0-2 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Apr 14, 2023 | Coquimbo Unido(home) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Apr 9, 2023 | Comunal Cabrero(away) | 3-0 | Copa Chile |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2023 | Guayaquil City FC(home) | 1-0 | Liga Pro |
| Apr 25, 2023 | Cumbayá(home) | 2-1 | Liga Pro |
| Apr 20, 2023 | Racing Club(away) | 2-3 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Apr 15, 2023 | Tecnico Universitario(away) | 1-0 | Liga Pro |
| Apr 9, 2023 | Emelec(home) | 2-1 | Liga Pro |
How many goals should we expect?
Nublense score 1.2 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Aucas score 1.3 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nublense | 1.2 | 1.6 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Aucas | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- May 2, 2023Liverpool Montevideo2-2Argentinos JRS
- May 3, 2023Fluminense5-1River Plate
- May 3, 2023Corinthians1-2Independiente del Valle
- May 3, 2023Atletico Nacional2-2Olimpia
- May 3, 2023Sporting Cristal1-0The Strongest
- May 3, 2023Internacional2-2Club Nacional
- May 3, 2023Cerro Porteno0-4Bolívar
- May 4, 2023Colo Colo0-2Boca Juniors