Nürnberg W vs Mainz 05 W: prediction and stats
Frauen BundesligaMatchday 24Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Max-Morlock-Stadion, Nürnberg
The Footlab AI model makes Nürnberg W the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Mainz 05 W. The most likely score is 1-1. If Nürnberg W wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,760 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nürnberg W vs Mainz 05 W?
A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate Nürnberg W (1,865) and Mainz 05 W (1,813).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Nürnberg W vs Mainz 05 W
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Nürnberg W
4-4-2- 24N. Lein
- 99L. Lapassouse
- 11L. Meroni
- 15E. Papai
- 3F. Proniez
- 10J. Brengel
- 17M. Bleil
- 2L. Varley
- 4A. Lobanova
- 19S. Homann
- 1L. Romero
Mainz 05 W
Not enough data to predict the Mainz 05 W lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 06:02 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nürnberg W have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Mainz 05 W have 4, 0 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | SC Freiburg W(away) | 4-0 | Frauen Bundesliga |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt W(home) | 0-0 | DFB Pokal - Women |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Bayer Leverkusen W(home) | 2-0 | Frauen Bundesliga |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Union Berlin W(away) | 1-2 | Frauen Bundesliga |
| Oct 4, 2026 | 1899 Hoffenheim W(home) | 1-2 | Frauen Bundesliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2026 | Hamburger SV W(away) | 1-6 | Frauen Bundesliga |
| Nov 8, 2026 | Stuttgart W(home) | 1-3 | Frauen Bundesliga |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Werder Bremen W(home) | 0-2 | DFB Pokal - Women |
| Oct 25, 2026 | 1899 Hoffenheim W(away) | 1-3 | Frauen Bundesliga |
| Oct 18, 2026 | VfL Wolfsburg W(home) | 0-5 | Frauen Bundesliga |
How many goals should we expect?
Nürnberg W score 2.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Mainz 05 W score 1.7 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nürnberg W | 2.1 | 2.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Mainz 05 W | 1.7 | 2.7 | 2 | 7/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nürnberg W sit 13th in Frauen Bundesliga (8 points from 9 matches) and Mainz 05 W sit 14th (0 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Nürnberg W | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 23 | 8 |
| 14 | Mainz 05 W | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | 36 | 0 |
A question about Nürnberg W vs Mainz 05 W?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nürnberg W vs Mainz 05 W?
- The Footlab AI model makes Nürnberg W the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Mainz 05 W.
- Where and when is Nürnberg W vs Mainz 05 W played?
- Nürnberg W vs Mainz 05 W is played on May 2, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Max-Morlock-Stadion, in the Frauen Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.