Nykobing FC vs Naestved: prediction and stats
2. DivisionRegular Season - 21Kick-off on March 29, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Lollands Bank Park, Nykøbing Falster
The Footlab model makes Nykobing FC the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Naestved. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nykobing FC vs Naestved?
Nykobing FC starts as the favourite with a 174-point Elo edge (1,900 vs 1,726).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nykobing FC have 12 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats; Naestved have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Middelfart(away) | 3-2 | 2. Division |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Naestved(home) | 1-1 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 14, 2026 | B 93(home) | 4-0 | 2. Division |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Skive(away) | 3-2 | 2. Division |
| Aug 4, 2026 | B 93(home) | 2-0 | DBU Pokalen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | VSK Århus(home) | 0-2 | 2. Division |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Nykobing FC(away) | 1-1 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Brabrand(away) | 1-0 | 2. Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | HIK(home) | 1-1 | 2. Division |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Hvidovre(home) | 1-0 | DBU Pokalen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Nykobing FC win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Naestved win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Nykobing FC 1-1 Naestved | DBU Pokalen |
| Jan 29, 2026 | Naestved 2-2 Nykobing FC | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 28, 2025 | Nykobing FC 0-2 Naestved | 2. Division |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Naestved 3-2 Nykobing FC | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 4, 2024 | Naestved 1-0 Nykobing FC | 2. Division |
| Jan 27, 2024 | Naestved 0-1 Nykobing FC | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Nykobing FC vs Naestved on Aug 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nykobing FC score 2.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Naestved score 1.4 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nykobing FC | 2.8 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Naestved | 1.4 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nykobing FC sit 2nd in 2. Division (10 points from 4 matches) and Naestved sit 8th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Nykobing FC | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 10 |
| 8 | Naestved | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nykobing FC vs Naestved?
- The Footlab model makes Nykobing FC the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Naestved.
- Where and when is Nykobing FC vs Naestved played?
- Nykobing FC vs Naestved is played on March 29, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Lollands Bank Park, in the 2. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.