Oberwart vs Donau: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - OstOst - 6Kick-off on September 4, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Informstadion, Oberwart
The Footlab model makes Oberwart the favourite at 82%, against 10% for a draw and 7% for Donau. The most likely score is 3-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Oberwart vs Donau?
Oberwart starts as the favourite with a 178-point Elo edge (1,725 vs 1,547).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oberwart have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Donau have 1, 2 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Wienerberg(home) | 5-2 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Fach-Donaufeld(away) | 4-1 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Scheiblingkirchen(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Wiener Viktoria(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Red Bull Salzburg(home) | 1-7 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | SV Horn(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf(home) | 1-4 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Parndorf(away) | 1-6 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Krems / Rehberg(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Hellas Kagran(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Oberwart win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Donau win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2026 | Oberwart 2-2 Donau | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Sep 5, 2025 | Donau 1-0 Oberwart | Regionalliga - Ost |
How many goals should we expect?
Oberwart score 2.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Donau score 1.6 and concede 3.7. The model gives a 86% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oberwart | 2.8 | 1.7 | 5 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| Donau | 1.6 | 3.7 | 1 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Oberwart sit 3rd in Regionalliga - Ost (9 points from 4 matches) and Donau sit 15th (2 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Oberwart | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 9 |
| 9 | Oberwart | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 13 | Donau | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 1 |
| 15 | Donau | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Oberwart vs Donau?
- The Footlab model makes Oberwart the favourite at 82%, against 10% for a draw and 7% for Donau.
- Where and when is Oberwart vs Donau played?
- Oberwart vs Donau is played on September 4, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Informstadion, in the Regionalliga - Ost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 86% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.