Odorheiu Secuiesc vs Târgu Secuiesc: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 1Group 1 - 7Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Municipal, Odorheiu Secuiesc
The Footlab model makes Odorheiu Secuiesc the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Târgu Secuiesc. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Odorheiu Secuiesc vs Târgu Secuiesc?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Odorheiu Secuiesc (1,466) and Târgu Secuiesc (1,493).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Odorheiu Secuiesc have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Târgu Secuiesc have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Gheorgheni(away) | 0-1 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | Gheorgheni(away) | 1-2 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| May 8, 2026 | Aerostar Bacau(home) | 6-2 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| May 1, 2026 | USV Iaşi(away) | 1-1 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Bucovina Rădăuţi(home) | 2-2 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | CSM Adjud(away) | 1-2 | Cupa României |
| Jul 25, 2026 | FC Bacau(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Soimii Gura Humorului(away) | 1-1 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 16, 2026 | Stiinta Miroslava(home) | 1-1 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 9, 2026 | Viitorul Onesti(away) | 1-1 | Liga III - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Odorheiu Secuiesc win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Târgu Secuiesc win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2024 | Târgu Secuiesc 0-2 Odorheiu Secuiesc | Cupa României |
| May 7, 2024 | Târgu Secuiesc 1-0 Odorheiu Secuiesc | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Apr 5, 2024 | Odorheiu Secuiesc 2-1 Târgu Secuiesc | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Târgu Secuiesc 1-1 Odorheiu Secuiesc | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Aug 25, 2023 | Odorheiu Secuiesc 1-0 Târgu Secuiesc | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| May 3, 2023 | Târgu Secuiesc 0-3 Odorheiu Secuiesc | Liga III - Serie 5 |
Last archived meeting: Târgu Secuiesc vs Odorheiu Secuiesc on Jul 31, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Odorheiu Secuiesc score 1.7 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Târgu Secuiesc score 2.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odorheiu Secuiesc | 1.7 | 1.8 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Târgu Secuiesc | 2.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Odorheiu Secuiesc | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 11 | 40 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Odorheiu Secuiesc vs Târgu Secuiesc?
- The Footlab model makes Odorheiu Secuiesc the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Târgu Secuiesc.
- Where and when is Odorheiu Secuiesc vs Târgu Secuiesc played?
- Odorheiu Secuiesc vs Târgu Secuiesc is played on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Municipal, in the Liga III - Serie 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.