OFK Beograd vs FK Crvena Zvezda: prediction and stats
Super LigaRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Omladinski Stadion, Beograd
The Footlab model makes FK Crvena Zvezda the favourite at 67%, against 20% for a draw and 13% for OFK Beograd. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win OFK Beograd vs FK Crvena Zvezda?
FK Crvena Zvezda is a heavy favourite: 2,048 Elo points against 1,723, a 325-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, OFK Beograd have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; FK Crvena Zvezda have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Zemun(home) | 1-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cukaricki(away) | 0-2 | Super Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Železničar Pančevo(home) | 2-2 | Super Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Novi Pazar(away) | 4-1 | Super Liga |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Gaziantep FK(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Cukaricki(home) | 4-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Plzen(home) | 3-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Hapoel Beer Sheva(home) | 0-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Novi Pazar(home) | 2-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Hapoel Beer Sheva(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 OFK Beograd win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 FK Crvena Zvezda win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | FK Crvena Zvezda 1-2 OFK Beograd | Super Liga |
| Nov 30, 2025 | OFK Beograd 3-4 FK Crvena Zvezda | Super Liga |
| Jul 26, 2025 | FK Crvena Zvezda 7-1 OFK Beograd | Super Liga |
| Apr 27, 2025 | FK Crvena Zvezda 5-2 OFK Beograd | Super Liga |
| Apr 6, 2025 | FK Crvena Zvezda 3-1 OFK Beograd | Super Liga |
| Mar 26, 2025 | FK Crvena Zvezda 5-3 OFK Beograd | Cup |
Last archived meeting: FK Crvena Zvezda vs OFK Beograd on May 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
OFK Beograd score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; FK Crvena Zvezda score 2.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OFK Beograd | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| FK Crvena Zvezda | 2.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
OFK Beograd sit 8th in Super Liga (8 points from 6 matches) and FK Crvena Zvezda sit 1st (12 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | OFK Beograd | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for OFK Beograd vs FK Crvena Zvezda?
- The Footlab model makes FK Crvena Zvezda the favourite at 67%, against 20% for a draw and 13% for OFK Beograd.
- Where and when is OFK Beograd vs FK Crvena Zvezda played?
- OFK Beograd vs FK Crvena Zvezda is played on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Omladinski Stadion, in the Super Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.