Oguzsport vs Floreşti: prediction and stats
Liga 1Regular Season - 15Kick-off on November 27, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion im. V.G. Mumzhieva, Komrat
The Footlab model makes Floreşti the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for Oguzsport. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Oguzsport vs Floreşti?
A very open match: only 98 Elo points separate Oguzsport (1,190) and Floreşti (1,288).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oguzsport have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Floreşti have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Stăuceni(away) | 0-1 | Liga 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Făleşti(home) | 0-0 | Liga 1 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | FC National Ialoveni(away) | 2-0 | Liga 1 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Victoria Bardar(away) | 1-0 | Liga 1 |
| May 16, 2026 | Sireți(away) | 2-5 | Super Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 27, 2026 | Sireți(away) | 0-1 | Super Liga |
| May 20, 2026 | Spartanii Selemet(away) | 4-1 | Super Liga |
| May 16, 2026 | FCM Ungheni(home) | 5-4 | Super Liga |
| May 9, 2026 | Politehnica UTM(home) | 1-1 | Super Liga |
| May 5, 2026 | FC Stăuceni(away) | 0-0 | Super Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Oguzsport win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Floreşti win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2025 | Oguzsport 1-0 Floreşti | Liga 1 |
| Sep 19, 2025 | Floreşti 1-1 Oguzsport | Liga 1 |
| Aug 8, 2025 | Oguzsport 1-3 Floreşti | Liga 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Oguzsport score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Floreşti score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oguzsport | 1.3 | 1.6 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Floreşti | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oguzsport | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Oguzsport vs Floreşti?
- The Footlab model makes Floreşti the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for Oguzsport.
- Where and when is Oguzsport vs Floreşti played?
- Oguzsport vs Floreşti is played on November 27, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion im. V.G. Mumzhieva, in the Liga 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.