Olaria vs Nova Iguaçu: result 0-1 and analysis
Copa RioQuarter finalsKick-off on August 5, 2026 at 05:45 PM (UTC)Estádio Mourão Filho, Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro
Full time
What was the result of Olaria vs Nova Iguaçu?
Nova Iguaçu won 0-1 on August 5, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 31′?Nova Iguaçu
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Nova Iguaçu win at 43%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 0-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Olaria have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Nova Iguaçu have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2026 | Bangu(away) | 1-1 | Copa Rio |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Bangu(home) | 2-0 | Copa Rio |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Bonsucesso(home) | 0-1 | Carioca A2 |
| Jun 28, 2026 | CEAC / Araruama(away) | 0-1 | Carioca A2 |
| Jun 23, 2026 | Duque de Caxias(home) | 4-0 | Copa Rio |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2026 | América RJ(home) | 1-1 | Copa Rio |
| Jul 15, 2026 | América RJ(away) | 1-0 | Copa Rio |
| Jun 7, 2026 | XV de Piracicaba(home) | 1-0 | Serie D |
| May 30, 2026 | CFRJ / Maricá(away) | 0-1 | Serie D |
| May 23, 2026 | Noroeste(home) | 1-0 | Serie D |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Olaria win, 2 draws, 2 Nova Iguaçu wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 2025 | Nova Iguaçu 1-0 Olaria | Copa Rio |
| Jul 30, 2025 | Olaria 0-0 Nova Iguaçu | Copa Rio |
| Sep 20, 2023 | Nova Iguaçu 2-2 Olaria | Copa Rio |
| Sep 13, 2023 | Olaria 6-0 Nova Iguaçu | Copa Rio |
| Nov 4, 2020 | Olaria 1-3 Nova Iguaçu | Carioca - 2 |
Last archived meeting: Nova Iguaçu vs Olaria on Aug 13, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Olaria score 1.3 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Nova Iguaçu score 1.0 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olaria | 1.3 | 0.8 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Nova Iguaçu | 1.0 | 0.8 | 6 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Olaria vs Nova Iguaçu?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy