Oldham vs Carlisle: result 1-2 and analysis
League OneRegular Season - 43Kick-off on April 6, 2013 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Boundary Park, Oldham, Greater Manchester
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What was the result of Oldham vs Carlisle?
Carlisle won 1-2 on April 6, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 9′L. NobleCarlisle
- 33′J. MustoeCarlisle
- 73′Jose BaxterOldham (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oldham have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Carlisle have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2013 | Colchester(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Mar 29, 2013 | Swindon Town(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Mar 19, 2013 | Hartlepool(home) | 3-0 | League One |
| Mar 16, 2013 | Bournemouth(home) | 0-1 | League One |
| Mar 9, 2013 | Tranmere(away) | 0-1 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2013 | Sheffield Utd(away) | 0-0 | League One |
| Mar 29, 2013 | Shrewsbury(home) | 2-2 | League One |
| Mar 23, 2013 | Yeovil Town(home) | 3-3 | League One |
| Mar 16, 2013 | Leyton Orient(away) | 1-4 | League One |
| Mar 9, 2013 | Brentford(home) | 2-0 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Oldham win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Carlisle win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2012 | Carlisle 3-1 Oldham | League One |
| May 5, 2012 | Oldham 2-1 Carlisle | League One |
| Oct 29, 2011 | Carlisle 3-3 Oldham | League One |
| Aug 9, 2011 | Oldham 2-2 Carlisle | League Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Oldham score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Carlisle score 1.1 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oldham | 1.3 | 1.4 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Carlisle | 1.1 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy