Oleksandria II vs Rebel: prediction and stats
Druha LigaRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)KSK Olimp, Oleksandriia
The Footlab model makes Oleksandria II the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Rebel. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Oleksandria II vs Rebel?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Oleksandria II (1,561) and Rebel (1,541).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oleksandria II have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Rebel have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lozova(away) | 1-1 | Druha Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Metalurh Zaporizhya(home) | 0-0 | Druha Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Trostianets(away) | 1-0 | Druha Liga |
| May 24, 2026 | Chornomorets II(away) | 1-2 | Druha Liga |
| May 17, 2026 | Livyi Bereg 2(home) | 2-3 | Druha Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk(home) | 0-4 | Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | SC Poltava 2(away) | 0-2 | Druha Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Karbon Cherkasy(home) | 3-5 | Druha Liga |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Atlet(away) | 3-2 | Druha Liga |
| May 16, 2026 | Chayka(away) | 2-0 | Druha Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Oleksandria II win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Rebel win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Rebel 1-0 Oleksandria II | Druha Liga |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Oleksandria II 1-2 Rebel | Druha Liga |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Rebel 0-1 Oleksandria II | Druha Liga |
Last archived meeting: Rebel vs Oleksandria II on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Oleksandria II score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Rebel score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oleksandria II | 1.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Rebel | 1.5 | 1.7 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Oleksandria II sit 2nd in Druha Liga (5 points from 3 matches) and Rebel sit 7th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Oleksandria II | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| 7 | Rebel | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Oleksandria II vs Rebel?
- The Footlab model makes Oleksandria II the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Rebel.
- Where and when is Oleksandria II vs Rebel played?
- Oleksandria II vs Rebel is played on September 13, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at KSK Olimp, in the Druha Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.