Olympiakos Piraeus vs Panathinaikos: prediction and stats
Super League 1Regular Season - 6Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Georgios Karaiskáki, Piraeus
The Footlab model makes Olympiakos Piraeus the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Panathinaikos. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Olympiakos Piraeus vs Panathinaikos?
A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Olympiakos Piraeus (2,098) and Panathinaikos (2,026).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Olympiakos Piraeus have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Panathinaikos have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Atromitos(home) | 1-0 | Super League 1 |
| Aug 11, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Antwerp(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Hradec Králové(home) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | CSKA 1948(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | CSKA 1948(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Paks(home) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Paks(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Olympiakos Piraeus win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Panathinaikos win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2026 | Olympiakos Piraeus 1-0 Panathinaikos | Super League 1 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Panathinaikos 0-2 Olympiakos Piraeus | Super League 1 |
| Feb 8, 2026 | Olympiakos Piraeus 0-1 Panathinaikos | Super League 1 |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Panathinaikos 1-1 Olympiakos Piraeus | Super League 1 |
| May 11, 2025 | Panathinaikos 0-1 Olympiakos Piraeus | Super League 1 |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Olympiakos Piraeus 4-2 Panathinaikos | Super League 1 |
Last archived meeting: Olympiakos Piraeus vs Panathinaikos on May 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Olympiakos Piraeus score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Panathinaikos score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympiakos Piraeus | 0.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Panathinaikos | 1.2 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Olympiakos Piraeus vs Panathinaikos?
- The Footlab model makes Olympiakos Piraeus the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Panathinaikos.
- Where and when is Olympiakos Piraeus vs Panathinaikos played?
- Olympiakos Piraeus vs Panathinaikos is played on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Georgios Karaiskáki, in the Super League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.