Omarska vs Kozara Gradiška: prediction and stats
1st League - RSRS - 11Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Gradski Stadion Omarska, Omarska
The Footlab model makes Omarska the favourite at 51%, against 28% for a draw and 21% for Kozara Gradiška. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Omarska vs Kozara Gradiška?
A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate Omarska (1,221) and Kozara Gradiška (1,304).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Omarska have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Kozara Gradiška have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Potkozarje(away) | 0-2 | 1st League - RS |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Sutjeska Foča(home) | 3-0 | 1st League - RS |
| May 30, 2026 | Zvijezda 09(away) | 2-0 | 1st League - RS |
| May 27, 2026 | FK Vlasenica(home) | 0-0 | 1st League - RS |
| May 16, 2026 | Famos Vojkovići(away) | 1-3 | 1st League - RS |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Famos Vojkovići(away) | 1-0 | 1st League - RS |
| May 30, 2026 | BSK Banja Luka(home) | 3-1 | 1st League - RS |
| May 23, 2026 | Laktaši(away) | 0-2 | 1st League - RS |
| May 16, 2026 | Slavija(home) | 0-3 | 1st League - RS |
| May 9, 2026 | Drina Zvornik(away) | 1-1 | 1st League - RS |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Omarska win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Kozara Gradiška win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Omarska 0-0 Kozara Gradiška | 1st League - RS |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Kozara Gradiška 4-0 Omarska | 1st League - RS |
| Jun 2, 2024 | Omarska 3-2 Kozara Gradiška | 1st League - RS |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Kozara Gradiška 2-0 Omarska | 1st League - RS |
| Apr 8, 2023 | Kozara Gradiška 4-3 Omarska | 1st League - RS |
| Sep 4, 2022 | Omarska 1-2 Kozara Gradiška | 1st League - RS |
Last archived meeting: Omarska vs Kozara Gradiška on Mar 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Omarska score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Kozara Gradiška score 0.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Omarska | 1.3 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Kozara Gradiška | 0.7 | 1.0 | 5 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Omarska sit 5th in 1st League - RS (35 points from 29 matches) and Kozara Gradiška sit 4th (40 points from 29 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Kozara Gradiška | 29 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 28 | 34 | 40 |
| 5 | Omarska | 29 | 10 | 5 | 14 | 33 | 52 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Omarska vs Kozara Gradiška?
- The Footlab model makes Omarska the favourite at 51%, against 28% for a draw and 21% for Kozara Gradiška.
- Where and when is Omarska vs Kozara Gradiška played?
- Omarska vs Kozara Gradiška is played on October 18, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Gradski Stadion Omarska, in the 1st League - RS.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.