One Knoxville vs Tormenta: prediction and stats
USL League OneGroup StageKick-off on October 23, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Covenant Health Park, Knoxville, Tennessee
The Footlab AI model makes One Knoxville the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Tormenta. The most likely score is 1-1. If One Knoxville wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win One Knoxville vs Tormenta?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate One Knoxville (1,855) and Tormenta (1,826).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for One Knoxville vs Tormenta
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
One Knoxville
4-3-3- 9D. Krioutchenkov
- 21S. Zarokóstas
- 7B. Diene
- 89T. Baker
- 17M. Goling
- 8J. Murphy
- 3Finn McRobb
- 22W. Perkins
- 4J. Skelton
- 26J. Brown
- 25J. Garibay
Tormenta
4-3-3- 22C. Doyle
- 10T. Gray
- 11J. Nyandjo
- 8Gabriel Cabral
- 19Y. Bazini
- 16M. Tunbridge
- 58O. Jimenez
- 23M. Rasheed
- 26J. Kasanzu
- 6C. Stretch
- 1A. Pack
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 02:29 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, One Knoxville have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Tormenta have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Spokane Velocity(home) | 0-2 | USL League One |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Chattanooga Red Wolves(home) | 3-0 | USL League One |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Richmond Kickers(away) | 2-3 | USL League One |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Westchester SC(home) | 0-0 | USL League One |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Union Omaha(away) | 1-2 | USL League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2025 | Spokane Velocity(away) | 0-0 | USL League One |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Texoma(home) | 3-0 | USL League One |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Greenville Triumph(away) | 4-1 | USL League One |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Spokane Velocity(away) | 1-1 | USL League One |
| Oct 3, 2025 | Westchester SC(home) | 3-1 | USL League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 One Knoxville wins, 0 draws, 1 Tormenta win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2025 | Tormenta 2-1 One Knoxville | USL League One |
| Jul 12, 2025 | Tormenta 1-2 One Knoxville | USL League One |
| Jun 21, 2025 | One Knoxville 3-0 Tormenta | USL League One |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Tormenta 0-1 One Knoxville | USL League One Cup |
| Jul 5, 2024 | Tormenta 0-1 One Knoxville | USL League One |
| Mar 30, 2024 | One Knoxville 1-0 Tormenta | USL League One |
Last archived meeting: Tormenta vs One Knoxville on Sep 6, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
One Knoxville score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Tormenta score 2.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| One Knoxville | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Tormenta | 2.3 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | One Knoxville | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 34 | 51 |
A question about One Knoxville vs Tormenta?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for One Knoxville vs Tormenta?
- The Footlab AI model makes One Knoxville the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Tormenta.
- Where and when is One Knoxville vs Tormenta played?
- One Knoxville vs Tormenta is played on October 23, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Covenant Health Park, in the USL League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 8, 2026Westchester SC2-3One Knoxville
- Mar 8, 2026Naples2-0Fort Wayne
- Mar 8, 2026Sarasota Paradise0-1Boise
- Mar 8, 2026Alta1-1Richmond Kickers
- Mar 8, 2026TormentavsSpokane Velocity
- Mar 14, 2026NY Cosmos1-3Portland Hearts of Pine
- Mar 14, 2026TormentavsAlta
- Mar 14, 2026Greenville Triumph1-2Chattanooga Red Wolves