Match

One Knoxville vs Tormenta: prediction and stats

USL League OneGroup StageKick-off on October 23, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Covenant Health Park, Knoxville, Tennessee

One KnoxvilleTormenta

The Footlab model makes One Knoxville the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Tormenta. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win One Knoxville vs Tormenta?

A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate One Knoxville (1,791) and Tormenta (1,740).

One Knoxville win54 %
Draw24 %
Tormenta win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, One Knoxville have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Tormenta have 9, 4 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

One Knoxville
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Boise(home)2-2USL League One
Aug 19, 2026Portland Hearts of Pine(home)1-1USL League One
Aug 15, 2026Greenville Triumph(away)1-1USL League One
Aug 8, 2026Sarasota Paradise(home)2-1USL League One
Aug 1, 2026Charlotte Independence(away)1-3USL League One
Tormenta
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 3, 2025Spokane Velocity(away)0-0USL League One
Oct 25, 2025Texoma(home)3-0USL League One
Oct 18, 2025Greenville Triumph(away)4-1USL League One
Oct 12, 2025Spokane Velocity(away)1-1USL League One
Oct 3, 2025Westchester SC(home)3-1USL League One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 5 One Knoxville win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Tormenta win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 6, 2025Tormenta 2-1 One KnoxvilleUSL League One
Jul 12, 2025Tormenta 1-2 One KnoxvilleUSL League One
Jun 21, 2025One Knoxville 3-0 TormentaUSL League One
Sep 1, 2024Tormenta 0-1 One KnoxvilleUSL League One Cup
Jul 5, 2024Tormenta 0-1 One KnoxvilleUSL League One
Mar 30, 2024One Knoxville 1-0 TormentaUSL League One

Last archived meeting: Tormenta vs One Knoxville on Sep 6, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

One Knoxville score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Tormenta score 2.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
One Knoxville1.71.3212/159/15
Tormenta2.31.2410/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4One Knoxville221165372539

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for One Knoxville vs Tormenta?
The Footlab model makes One Knoxville the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Tormenta.
Where and when is One Knoxville vs Tormenta played?
One Knoxville vs Tormenta is played on October 23, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Covenant Health Park, in the USL League One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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