Onsala vs Åstorp: prediction and stats
Division 2 - Västra GötalandVästra Götaland - 25Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Kapareskolans Idrottshall, Onsala
The Footlab model makes Onsala the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Åstorp. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Onsala vs Åstorp?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Onsala (1,431) and Åstorp (1,435).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Onsala have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Åstorp have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Lindome(home) | 1-4 | Division 2 - Västra Götaland |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Jonsered(away) | 1-2 | Division 2 - Västra Götaland |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Böljan(home) | 3-0 | Division 2 - Västra Götaland |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Kongahälla(away) | 0-0 | Division 2 - Västra Götaland |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Landvetter IS(home) | 2-4 | Division 2 - Västra Götaland |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kongahälla(home) | 2-0 | Division 2 - Västra Götaland |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Böljan(away) | 1-0 | Division 2 - Västra Götaland |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Lindome(home) | 0-2 | Division 2 - Västra Götaland |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hestrafor(away) | 1-2 | Division 2 - Västra Götaland |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Torslanda(home) | 1-1 | Division 2 - Västra Götaland |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Onsala win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Åstorp win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Åstorp 1-1 Onsala | Division 2 - Västra Götaland |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Onsala 1-1 Åstorp | Division 2 - Västra Götaland |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Åstorp 1-1 Onsala | Division 2 - Västra Götaland |
How many goals should we expect?
Onsala score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Åstorp score 1.2 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Onsala | 1.7 | 1.7 | 4 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Åstorp | 1.2 | 1.6 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Onsala sit 9th in Division 2 - Västra Götaland (17 points from 13 matches) and Åstorp sit 11th (13 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Onsala | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 19 | 20 | 17 |
| 10 | Onsala | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 26 | 30 | 21 |
| 11 | Åstorp | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 26 | 13 |
| 11 | Åstorp | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 31 | 20 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Onsala vs Åstorp?
- The Footlab model makes Onsala the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Åstorp.
- Where and when is Onsala vs Åstorp played?
- Onsala vs Åstorp is played on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Kapareskolans Idrottshall, in the Division 2 - Västra Götaland.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.