Oostkamp vs Ninove: prediction and stats
Second Amateur Division - VFV AVFV A - 8Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Complex KSV Oostkamp, Oostkamp
The Footlab model makes Oostkamp the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Ninove. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Oostkamp vs Ninove?
Oostkamp starts as the favourite with a 146-point Elo edge (1,814 vs 1,668).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oostkamp have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Ninove have 2, 1 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Westhoek(away) | 0-2 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Oudenaarde(home) | 2-2 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Harelbeke(home) | 0-1 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Gullegem(away) | 3-0 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Mar 14, 2026 | RFC Wetteren(home) | 0-1 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Merelbeke(home) | 3-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Hoogstraten(away) | 1-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Knokke(home) | 0-4 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Diegem Sport(away) | 0-5 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Houtvenne(home) | 1-3 | First Amateur Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Oostkamp win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Ninove win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2024 | Ninove 4-1 Oostkamp | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Oostkamp 1-1 Ninove | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
How many goals should we expect?
Oostkamp score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Ninove score 1.2 and concede 3.1. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oostkamp | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Ninove | 1.2 | 3.1 | 0 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Oostkamp | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 50 | 43 | 44 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Oostkamp vs Ninove?
- The Footlab model makes Oostkamp the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Ninove.
- Where and when is Oostkamp vs Ninove played?
- Oostkamp vs Ninove is played on October 17, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Complex KSV Oostkamp, in the Second Amateur Division - VFV A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.