Opava vs Ústí nad Labem: prediction and stats
FNLRegular Season - 24Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion v Městských sadech, Opava
The Footlab model makes Opava the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Ústí nad Labem. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Opava vs Ústí nad Labem?
Ústí nad Labem starts as the favourite with a 135-point Elo edge (1,930 vs 1,795).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Opava have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Ústí nad Labem have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Třinec(home) | 2-2 | FNL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Táborsko(away) | 0-3 | FNL |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Frýdlant(away) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Kladno(home) | 1-1 | FNL |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Příbram(away) | 0-1 | FNL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Varnsdorf(away) | 0-0 | Cup |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Dukla Praha(home) | 3-1 | FNL |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Třinec(away) | 0-0 | FNL |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Karlovy Vary(away) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Arsenal Česká Lípa(home) | 3-3 | FNL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Opava win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Ústí nad Labem win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2026 | Ústí nad Labem 2-1 Opava | FNL |
| Oct 17, 2025 | Opava 3-3 Ústí nad Labem | FNL |
| May 11, 2022 | Opava 2-0 Ústí nad Labem | FNL |
| Nov 19, 2021 | Ústí nad Labem 0-2 Opava | FNL |
Last archived meeting: Ústí nad Labem vs Opava on May 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Opava score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Ústí nad Labem score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opava | 0.9 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Ústí nad Labem | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Opava sit 7th in FNL (44 points from 30 matches) and Ústí nad Labem sit 4th (48 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Ústí nad Labem | 30 | 15 | 3 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 48 |
| 7 | Opava | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 42 | 31 | 44 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Opava vs Ústí nad Labem?
- The Footlab model makes Opava the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Ústí nad Labem.
- Where and when is Opava vs Ústí nad Labem played?
- Opava vs Ústí nad Labem is played on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion v Městských sadech, in the FNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.