Ordabasy vs Yelimay Semey: result 3-1 and analysis
Premier LeagueMatchday 18Kick-off on July 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Qajimuqan Muñaytpasov, Shymkent
Full time
What was the result of Ordabasy vs Yelimay Semey?
Ordabasy won 3-1 on July 19, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 7′B. JohnsenOrdabasy
- 12′E. PlaccaYelimay Semey
- 37′G. KilamaOrdabasy
- 60′E. AstanovOrdabasy (pen.)
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Ordabasy win at 60%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-0. Actual score: 3-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Ordabasy vs Yelimay Semey
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Ordabasy
- 19Léo Natel
- 28B. Johnsen
- 10E. Astanov
- 15Z. Amir
- 16M. Căpățînă
- 22S. Astanov
- 77D. Abagna
- 3G. Kilama
- 5N. Antić
- 55A. Amanović
- 1B. Shaizada
Yelimay Semey
- 11I. Sviridov
- 77E. Placca
- 14D. Palacio
- 20A. Ashirbek
- 23H. Ilić
- 27Evgeni Berezkin
- 88A. Baygaliev
- 3Higor Gabriel
- 15M. Mittendorfer
- 26S. Tanasijević
- 32I. Konovalov
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ordabasy have 13 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat; Yelimay Semey have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 15, 2026 | Altay(home) | 3-1 | Cup |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Kaspiy(away) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Ulytau(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Ulytau(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Kaspiy(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 16, 2026 | Alashkert(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 9, 2026 | Alashkert(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Kyzyl-Zhar(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Kyzyl-Zhar(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Atyrau(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Ordabasy wins, 2 draws, 1 Yelimay Semey win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 2026 | Yelimay Semey 1-3 Ordabasy | Premier League |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Yelimay Semey 2-1 Ordabasy | Premier League |
| Jun 15, 2025 | Ordabasy 1-1 Yelimay Semey | Premier League |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Ordabasy 2-1 Yelimay Semey | Premier League |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Yelimay Semey 1-1 Ordabasy | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Yelimay Semey vs Ordabasy on Jun 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ordabasy score 1.9 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Yelimay Semey score 1.3 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ordabasy | 1.9 | 0.6 | 8 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Yelimay Semey | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ordabasy sit 1st in Premier League (68 points from 30 matches) and Yelimay Semey sit 6th (45 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ordabasy | 30 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 59 | 23 | 68 |
| 6 | Yelimay Semey | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 44 | 45 |
A question about Ordabasy vs Yelimay Semey?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy