Ordino vs Penya Encarnada: prediction and stats
1a DivisióRegular Season - 9Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Centre d'Entrenament de la FAF 1, Santa Coloma
The Footlab model makes Ordino the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Penya Encarnada. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ordino vs Penya Encarnada?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Ordino (1,436) and Penya Encarnada (1,452).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ordino have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Penya Encarnada have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Esperança d'Andorra(home) | 2-2 | 1a Divisió |
| May 10, 2026 | FC Santa Coloma(away) | 1-0 | 1a Divisió |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Penya Encarnada(home) | 0-1 | 1a Divisió |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Inter Club d'Escaldes(away) | 0-4 | 1a Divisió |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Carroi(home) | 5-0 | 1a Divisió |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Atlètic Club d'Escaldes(away) | 0-2 | 1a Divisió |
| May 10, 2026 | Ranger's(home) | 1-2 | 1a Divisió |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Ordino(away) | 1-0 | 1a Divisió |
| Apr 18, 2026 | UE Santa Coloma(home) | 0-2 | 1a Divisió |
| Apr 13, 2026 | Esperança d'Andorra(away) | 1-0 | 1a Divisió |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Ordino win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Penya Encarnada win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Ordino 0-1 Penya Encarnada | 1a Divisió |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Ordino 2-4 Penya Encarnada | 1a Divisió |
| Nov 6, 2025 | Penya Encarnada 3-4 Ordino | 1a Divisió |
| May 11, 2025 | Penya Encarnada 1-1 Ordino | 1a Divisió |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Ordino 0-1 Penya Encarnada | 1a Divisió |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Penya Encarnada 0-0 Ordino | 1a Divisió |
Last archived meeting: Ordino vs Penya Encarnada on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ordino score 1.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Penya Encarnada score 0.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ordino | 1.1 | 1.6 | 3 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Penya Encarnada | 0.5 | 1.5 | 5 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ordino sit 7th in 1a Divisió (22 points from 24 matches) and Penya Encarnada sit 6th (24 points from 24 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Penya Encarnada | 24 | 7 | 3 | 14 | 19 | 41 | 24 |
| 7 | Ordino | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 27 | 42 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ordino vs Penya Encarnada?
- The Footlab model makes Ordino the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Penya Encarnada.
- Where and when is Ordino vs Penya Encarnada played?
- Ordino vs Penya Encarnada is played on November 22, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Centre d'Entrenament de la FAF 1, in the 1a Divisió.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.