Match

Orense SC vs Mushuc Runa SC: prediction and stats

Liga ProRelegation Group - 7Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio 9 de Mayo, Machala

Orense SCMushuc Runa SC

The Footlab AI model makes Orense SC the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Mushuc Runa SC. The most likely score is 1-1. If Orense SC wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 6,188 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Orense SC vs Mushuc Runa SC?

On Elo ratings, Orense SC has 1,771 points and Mushuc Runa SC 1,765.

54%26%20%
Orense SC winDrawMushuc Runa SC win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Orense SC vs Mushuc Runa SC

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Orense SC

3-4-3
  1. 11A. Herrera
  2. 19Michael Alessandro Bermúdez Reyes
  3. 30V. Burgoa
  1. 15B. Caicedo
  2. 31P. Velasco
  3. 25R. Jaramillo
  4. 21G. Rostagno
  1. 4M. Quiñonez
  2. 3Sixto Romario Mina Arroyo
  3. 24G. Achilier
  1. 12R. Silva

Mushuc Runa SC

4-3-3
  1. 28M. Perea
  2. 11N. Bazán
  3. 14E. Caicedo
  1. 5Esteban Nicolás Dávila Alarcón
  2. 19B. Corozo
  3. 8A. Zambrano
  1. 33M. Hernández
  2. 99Cristopher Adonis Angulo Caicedo
  3. 4Ronny Alfonso Biojo Preciado
  4. 50J. Cusme
  1. 42W. Pabón

Computed on November 15, 2026 at 07:23 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Orense SC have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Mushuc Runa SC have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Orense SC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Deportivo Cuenca(away)0-2Liga Pro
Nov 2, 2026Tecnico Universitario(home)1-1Liga Pro
Oct 24, 2026Delfin SC(home)4-0Liga Pro
Oct 19, 2026Mushuc Runa SC(away)1-1Liga Pro
Oct 11, 2026Deportivo Cuenca(home)0-0Liga Pro
Mushuc Runa SC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 9, 2026Delfin SC(home)2-1Liga Pro
Nov 3, 2026Manta FC(home)2-3Liga Pro
Oct 26, 2026Tecnico Universitario(away)0-3Liga Pro
Oct 19, 2026Orense SC(home)1-1Liga Pro
Oct 9, 2026Delfin SC(away)2-3Liga Pro

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Orense SC wins, 1 draw, 2 Mushuc Runa SC wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 19, 2026Mushuc Runa SC 1-1 Orense SCLiga Pro
Jul 20, 2026Mushuc Runa SC 2-1 Orense SCLiga Pro
Mar 19, 2026Orense SC 3-2 Mushuc Runa SCLiga Pro
Sep 14, 2025Orense SC 3-1 Mushuc Runa SCLiga Pro
May 17, 2025Mushuc Runa SC 2-5 Orense SCLiga Pro
Mar 6, 2025Mushuc Runa SC 2-1 Orense SCCONMEBOL Sudamericana

Last archived meeting: Mushuc Runa SC vs Orense SC on Oct 19, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Orense SC score 1.2 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Mushuc Runa SC score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Orense SC1.21.638/158/15
Mushuc Runa SC1.11.358/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Orense SC sit 13th in Liga Pro (39 points from 36 matches) and Mushuc Runa SC sit 12th (43 points from 36 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Mushuc Runa SC36101313435043
13Orense SC3610917435339

A question about Orense SC vs Mushuc Runa SC?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Orense SC vs Mushuc Runa SC?
The Footlab AI model makes Orense SC the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Mushuc Runa SC.
Where and when is Orense SC vs Mushuc Runa SC played?
Orense SC vs Mushuc Runa SC is played on November 22, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio 9 de Mayo, in the Liga Pro.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round