Match

Oriente Petrolero vs Independiente Petrolero: prediction and stats

Primera DivisiónApertura - 26Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Ramón Aguilera Costas, Santa Cruz de la Sierra

Oriente PetroleroIndependiente Petrolero

The Footlab AI model makes Oriente Petrolero the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Independiente Petrolero. The most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,760 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Oriente Petrolero vs Independiente Petrolero?

On Elo ratings, Oriente Petrolero has 1,585 points and Independiente Petrolero 1,532.

62%21%17%
Oriente Petrolero winDrawIndependiente Petrolero win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Oriente Petrolero vs Independiente Petrolero

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Oriente Petrolero

4-2-3-1
  1. 29J. Escobar
  1. 20J. Lovera
  2. 7J. Flores
  3. 11L. Vaca
  4. 91N. Nacif
  5. 40O. Perdomo
  1. 3Mizael Monteiro
  2. 42D. Roca
  3. 23J. Rojas
  4. 28J. Velasco
  1. 1A. Torrez

Independiente Petrolero

5-4-1
  1. 91G. Álvarez
  1. 6D. Rojas
  2. 93Willie
  3. 26L. Sanchez
  4. 7R. Cardozo
  1. 2S. Torres
  2. 50Roni Santos
  3. 34G. Mendoza
  4. 4L. Rodríguez
  5. 28W. Soleto
  1. 12Jhunior Vera

Computed on November 14, 2026 at 07:29 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oriente Petrolero have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Independiente Petrolero have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Oriente Petrolero
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Blooming(away)1-0Primera División
Nov 4, 2026Nacional Potosí(away)1-5Copa de la División Profesional
Oct 31, 2026Aurora(home)1-1Primera División
Oct 25, 2026The Strongest(home)2-1Primera División
Oct 22, 2026Nacional Potosí(home)3-2Copa de la División Profesional
Independiente Petrolero
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 11, 2026Always Ready(home)0-0Copa de la División Profesional
Nov 6, 2026Real Tomayapo(home)0-2Primera División
Nov 3, 2026Aurora(away)2-3Copa de la División Profesional
Oct 30, 2026Real Potosí(away)1-1Primera División
Oct 24, 2026ABB(home)4-2Primera División

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Oriente Petrolero wins, 1 draw, 2 Independiente Petrolero wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 25, 2026Independiente Petrolero 1-2 Oriente PetroleroPrimera División
Sep 23, 2025Oriente Petrolero 2-1 Independiente PetroleroPrimera División
Jul 27, 2025Independiente Petrolero 1-0 Oriente PetroleroCopa de la División Profesional
May 11, 2025Independiente Petrolero 5-2 Oriente PetroleroPrimera División
Apr 30, 2025Oriente Petrolero 2-0 Independiente PetroleroCopa de la División Profesional
Nov 23, 2024Oriente Petrolero 1-1 Independiente PetroleroPrimera División

Last archived meeting: Independiente Petrolero vs Oriente Petrolero on Jul 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Oriente Petrolero score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Independiente Petrolero score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Oriente Petrolero1.41.359/157/15
Independiente Petrolero1.51.457/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Oriente Petrolero sit 4th in Primera División (41 points from 25 matches) and Independiente Petrolero sit 11th (30 points from 25 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Oriente Petrolero251258423041
11Independiente Petrolero258611324230

A question about Oriente Petrolero vs Independiente Petrolero?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Oriente Petrolero vs Independiente Petrolero?
The Footlab AI model makes Oriente Petrolero the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Independiente Petrolero.
Where and when is Oriente Petrolero vs Independiente Petrolero played?
Oriente Petrolero vs Independiente Petrolero is played on November 21, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at Estadio Ramón Aguilera Costas, in the Primera División.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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