Orsomarso vs Fortaleza FC: result 1-0 and analysis
Primera BApertura - 9Kick-off on April 7, 2017 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Francisco Rivera Escobar, Palmira
Full time
What was the result of Orsomarso vs Fortaleza FC?
Orsomarso won 1-0 on April 7, 2017.
Goalscorers
- 28′Junior Felipe Murillo CerónOrsomarso
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Orsomarso have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Fortaleza FC have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2017 | Depor FC(away) | 3-0 | Primera B |
| Mar 26, 2017 | Cucuta(away) | 2-2 | Primera B |
| Mar 19, 2017 | Leones FC(home) | 1-4 | Primera B |
| Mar 12, 2017 | Real Santander(away) | 1-3 | Primera B |
| Mar 4, 2017 | Quindio(home) | 1-0 | Primera B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2017 | Cucuta(home) | 0-1 | Primera B |
| Mar 25, 2017 | Leones FC(home) | 1-0 | Primera B |
| Mar 22, 2017 | Quindio(away) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Mar 12, 2017 | Union Magdalena(home) | 3-2 | Primera B |
| Mar 6, 2017 | Real Cartagena(away) | 1-1 | Primera B |
How many goals should we expect?
Orsomarso score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Fortaleza FC score 1.0 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orsomarso | 1.5 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Fortaleza FC | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Orsomarso | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| 7 | Orsomarso | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | Orsomarso | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 17 | 17 |
| 10 | Orsomarso | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 17 | 17 |
| 11 | Orsomarso | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 18 | 22 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy