Osasuna II vs Peña Sport: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 28Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Instalaciones Deportivas de Tajonar, Tajonar
The Footlab model makes Peña Sport the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Osasuna II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Osasuna II vs Peña Sport?
Peña Sport starts as the favourite with a 105-point Elo edge (1,933 vs 1,828).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Osasuna II have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Peña Sport have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Mirandes(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Mérida AD(home) | 1-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Racing Ferrol(away) | 0-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 10, 2026 | CF Talavera(home) | 2-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 1, 2026 | Celta de Vigo II(away) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Mutilvera(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 9, 2026 | Atlético Artajonés(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| May 3, 2026 | Subiza(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 24, 2026 | San Juan(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Beti Onak(home) | 4-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Osasuna II win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Peña Sport win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2022 | Peña Sport 3-3 Osasuna II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 31, 2021 | Osasuna II 1-1 Peña Sport | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Peña Sport vs Osasuna II on Mar 20, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Osasuna II score 0.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Peña Sport score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna II | 0.7 | 0.8 | 6 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
| Peña Sport | 1.7 | 1.2 | 3 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Osasuna II vs Peña Sport?
- The Footlab model makes Peña Sport the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Osasuna II.
- Where and when is Osasuna II vs Peña Sport played?
- Osasuna II vs Peña Sport is played on March 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Instalaciones Deportivas de Tajonar, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.