Ostia Mare vs Pineto: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone BGirone B - 17Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Anco Marzio, Lido di Ostia
The Footlab model makes Ostia Mare the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Pineto. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ostia Mare vs Pineto?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Ostia Mare (1,815) and Pineto (1,779).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ostia Mare have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Pineto have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Perugia(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Latina(away) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Lazio(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Benevento(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 13, 2026 | Grosseto(away) | 3-2 | Serie D - Championship Round |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Latina(away) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Gubbio(home) | 1-2 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Atletico Ascoli(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Scafatese(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 6, 2026 | Campobasso FC(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
How many goals should we expect?
Ostia Mare score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Pineto score 0.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ostia Mare | 1.2 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Pineto | 0.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ostia Mare sit 16th in Serie C - Girone B (0 points from 1 matches) and Pineto sit 11th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pineto | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 16 | Ostia Mare | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ostia Mare vs Pineto?
- The Footlab model makes Ostia Mare the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Pineto.
- Where and when is Ostia Mare vs Pineto played?
- Ostia Mare vs Pineto is played on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Anco Marzio, in the Serie C - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.