Ostrov vs Ústí nad Labem II: prediction and stats
4. liga - Divizie BGroup B - 15Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion FK Ostrov, Ostrov
The Footlab model makes Ostrov the favourite at 58%, against 20% for a draw and 22% for Ústí nad Labem II. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ostrov vs Ústí nad Labem II?
A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Ostrov (1,647) and Ústí nad Labem II (1,579).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ostrov have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Ústí nad Labem II have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sokol Hostouň(away) | 0-6 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tempo Praha(home) | 2-3 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Klasterec n. Oh.(away) | 3-4 | Cup |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Újezd Praha 4(home) | 1-0 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Štětí(away) | 1-3 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Chomutov(away) | 0-5 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tempo Praha(home) | 1-1 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Baník Sokolov(away) | 0-6 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Sokol Brozany(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Štětí(away) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Ostrov win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Ústí nad Labem II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Ústí nad Labem II 3-4 Ostrov | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Ostrov 1-0 Ústí nad Labem II | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| May 3, 2025 | Ostrov 3-0 Ústí nad Labem II | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Ústí nad Labem II 2-0 Ostrov | 4. liga - Divizie B |
Last archived meeting: Ústí nad Labem II vs Ostrov on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ostrov score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Ústí nad Labem II score 1.7 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ostrov | 1.7 | 1.6 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Ústí nad Labem II | 1.7 | 2.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ostrov sit 16th in 4. liga - Divizie B (0 points from 2 matches) and Ústí nad Labem II sit 15th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Ústí nad Labem II | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 1 |
| 16 | Ostrov | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ostrov vs Ústí nad Labem II?
- The Footlab model makes Ostrov the favourite at 58%, against 20% for a draw and 22% for Ústí nad Labem II.
- Where and when is Ostrov vs Ústí nad Labem II played?
- Ostrov vs Ústí nad Labem II is played on November 14, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion FK Ostrov, in the 4. liga - Divizie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.