Oţelul vs Rapid: prediction and stats
Liga IRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Oţelul, Galaţi
The Footlab model makes Oţelul the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Rapid. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Oţelul vs Rapid?
A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Oţelul (1,704) and Rapid (1,781).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oţelul have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Rapid have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Concordia(away) | 1-5 | Cupa României |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Universitatea Craiova(home) | 1-1 | Liga I |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Petrolul Ploiesti(away) | 0-1 | Liga I |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Dinamo Bucuresti(home) | 1-1 | Liga I |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Uta Arad(away) | 2-2 | Liga I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Petrolul Ploiesti(away) | 2-0 | Liga I |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dinamo Bucuresti(home) | 0-1 | Liga I |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Uta Arad(away) | 0-0 | Liga I |
| Aug 2, 2026 | CFR 1907 Cluj(home) | 3-1 | Liga I |
| Jul 27, 2026 | FC Botosani(away) | 1-1 | Liga I |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Oţelul win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Rapid win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | Rapid 0-2 Oţelul | Liga I |
| Aug 11, 2025 | Oţelul 1-1 Rapid | Liga I |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Oţelul 1-1 Rapid | Liga I |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Rapid 0-0 Oţelul | Liga I |
| Feb 3, 2024 | Rapid 2-1 Oţelul | Liga I |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Oţelul 0-0 Rapid | Liga I |
How many goals should we expect?
Oţelul score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Rapid score 0.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oţelul | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Rapid | 0.9 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Oţelul sit 11th in Liga I (6 points from 5 matches) and Rapid sit 3rd (11 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Rapid | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 11 |
| 11 | Oţelul | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Oţelul vs Rapid?
- The Footlab model makes Oţelul the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Rapid.
- Where and when is Oţelul vs Rapid played?
- Oţelul vs Rapid is played on September 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Oţelul, in the Liga I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.