Otterup vs Aarup: result 4-0 and analysis
Denmark Series - Group 2Regular Season - 11Kick-off on October 19, 2013 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Otterup Stadion, Otterup
Full time
What was the result of Otterup vs Aarup?
Otterup won 4-0 on October 19, 2013.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 13 matches in all competitions, Otterup have 4 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; Aarup have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2013 | Greve(away) | 2-3 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Oct 5, 2013 | Marstal / Rise(home) | 1-2 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Sep 28, 2013 | Sydalliancen(home) | 2-1 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Sep 21, 2013 | Kolding B(away) | 1-3 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Sep 14, 2013 | Kolding IF(home) | 0-2 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2013 | Sydalliancen(home) | 3-0 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Oct 5, 2013 | Kolding B(away) | 0-5 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Sep 28, 2013 | Kolding IF(home) | 2-4 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Sep 21, 2013 | Ringsted(away) | 0-3 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
| Sep 14, 2013 | Næsby II(home) | 0-2 | Denmark Series - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Otterup score 1.5 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 13; Aarup score 1.7 and concede 2.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Otterup | 1.5 | 2.7 | 0 | 9/13 | 11/13 |
| Aarup | 1.7 | 2.5 | 1 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 13 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy