Oxford United vs AFC Wimbledon: prediction and stats
League OneMatchday 24Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Kassam Stadium, Oxford, Oxfordshire
The Footlab AI model makes Oxford United the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for AFC Wimbledon. The most likely score is 1-1. If Oxford United wins, the most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,527 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Oxford United vs AFC Wimbledon?
Oxford United starts as the favourite with a 181-point Elo edge (1,803 vs 1,622).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Oxford United vs AFC Wimbledon
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Oxford United
4-2-3-1- 9M. Harris
- 11T. Goodrham
- 23S. Dembélé
- 4Kai Andrews
- 8C. Brannagan
- 20L. Lynch
- 6M. Helik
- 26J. Currie
- 3C. Brown
- 30P. Kioso
- 1J. Cumming
AFC Wimbledon
5-3-2- 9J. Stockley
- 23H. Cornick
- 12A. Smith
- 5O. Harrison
- 21M. Hippolyte
- 3S. Seddon
- 6R. Johnson
- 29A. Sasu
- 17A. Yiadom
- 7J. Tilley
- 39J. Bursik
Computed on November 12, 2026 at 07:51 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oxford United have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; AFC Wimbledon have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2026 | Cheltenham(home) | 4-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Stevenage(home) | 0-1 | FA Cup |
| Nov 4, 2026 | Reading(home) | 2-0 | League One |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Barnsley(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Stockport County(home) | 1-0 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Crewe(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Stockport County(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Arsenal U21(home) | 1-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Wycombe(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Mansfield Town(home) | 0-3 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Oxford United wins, 1 draw, 3 AFC Wimbledon wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2024 | AFC Wimbledon 2-0 Oxford United | EFL Trophy |
| Jul 23, 2022 | AFC Wimbledon 0-0 Oxford United | Friendlies Clubs |
| Dec 29, 2021 | Oxford United 3-0 AFC Wimbledon | League One |
| Sep 4, 2021 | AFC Wimbledon 3-1 Oxford United | League One |
| Apr 20, 2021 | AFC Wimbledon 2-1 Oxford United | League One |
| Feb 2, 2021 | Oxford United 3-1 AFC Wimbledon | EFL Trophy |
Last archived meeting: AFC Wimbledon vs Oxford United on Jan 9, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Oxford United score 1.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; AFC Wimbledon score 0.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oxford United | 1.7 | 0.8 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| AFC Wimbledon | 0.7 | 1.7 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Oxford United sit 3rd in League One (26 points from 13 matches) and AFC Wimbledon sit 18th (13 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Oxford United | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 22 | 11 | 26 |
| 18 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 13 |
A question about Oxford United vs AFC Wimbledon?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Oxford United vs AFC Wimbledon?
- The Footlab AI model makes Oxford United the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for AFC Wimbledon.
- Where and when is Oxford United vs AFC Wimbledon played?
- Oxford United vs AFC Wimbledon is played on January 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Kassam Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.