Where and when is Pacific FC vs Atlético Ottawa played?

Pacific FC vs Atlético Ottawa is played on October 11, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Starlight Stadium, in the Canadian Premier League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Pacific FC vs Atlético Ottawa: prediction and stats

Canadian Premier LeagueGroup StageKick-off on October 11, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Starlight Stadium, Victoria, British Columbia

Pacific FC

Atlético Ottawa

The Footlab model makes Atlético Ottawa the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Pacific FC. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pacific FC vs Atlético Ottawa?

Atlético Ottawa starts as the favourite with a 261-point Elo edge (1,761 vs 1,500).

Pacific FC win24 %

Draw23 %

Atlético Ottawa win53 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pacific FC have 0 wins, 4 draws and 11 defeats; Atlético Ottawa have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Pacific FC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Forge(away)	0-2	Canadian Premier League
Aug 15, 2026	Vancouver FC(away)	1-1	Canadian Premier League
Aug 8, 2026	York United(home)	1-1	Canadian Premier League
Aug 1, 2026	Supra du Quebec(home)	1-2	Canadian Premier League
Jul 26, 2026	Atlético Ottawa(away)	2-3	Canadian Premier League

Atlético Ottawa
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Cavalry FC(away)	1-3	Canadian Premier League
Aug 19, 2026	Vancouver FC(home)	4-0	Canadian Premier League
Aug 16, 2026	Supra du Quebec(away)	2-1	Canadian Premier League
Aug 11, 2026	Supra du Quebec(home)	3-3	Canadian Championship
Aug 8, 2026	HFX Wanderers FC(home)	2-1	Canadian Premier League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Pacific FC win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Atlético Ottawa win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jul 26, 2026	Atlético Ottawa 3-2 Pacific FC	Canadian Premier League
May 30, 2026	Pacific FC 2-2 Atlético Ottawa	Canadian Premier League
Sep 6, 2025	Atlético Ottawa 2-0 Pacific FC	Canadian Premier League
Jul 27, 2025	Pacific FC 0-2 Atlético Ottawa	Canadian Premier League
Jun 7, 2025	Pacific FC 0-1 Atlético Ottawa	Canadian Premier League
May 3, 2025	Atlético Ottawa 3-1 Pacific FC	Canadian Premier League

Last archived meeting: Atlético Ottawa vs Pacific FC on Jul 26, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Pacific FC score 0.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Atlético Ottawa score 2.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Pacific FC	0.9	2.1	0	11/15	9/15
Atlético Ottawa	2.1	1.9	1	13/15	14/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Pacific FC sit 8th in Canadian Premier League (5 points from 17 matches) and Atlético Ottawa sit 3rd (30 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Atlético Ottawa	19	9	3	7	32	33	30
8	Pacific FC	17	0	5	12	18	36	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pacific FC vs Atlético Ottawa?: The Footlab model makes Atlético Ottawa the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Pacific FC.
Where and when is Pacific FC vs Atlético Ottawa played?: Pacific FC vs Atlético Ottawa is played on October 11, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Starlight Stadium, in the Canadian Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.