Pafos vs AEK Larnaca: result 0-1 and analysis
1. DivisionChampionship Round - 1Kick-off on February 25, 2024 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Stelios Kyriakides, Paphos
Full time
What was the result of Pafos vs AEK Larnaca?
AEK Larnaca won 0-1 on February 25, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 44′I. FarajAEK Larnaca
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pafos have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; AEK Larnaca have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2024 | Nea Salamis(home) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Feb 13, 2024 | Othellos(away) | 3-0 | 1. Division |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Ethnikos Achna(home) | 4-3 | 1. Division |
| Feb 4, 2024 | Anorthosis(away) | 2-2 | 1. Division |
| Jan 31, 2024 | Apollon Limassol(home) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2024 | Anorthosis(home) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
| Feb 14, 2024 | AEL(away) | 3-2 | 1. Division |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Apollon Limassol(home) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Feb 5, 2024 | Apoel Nicosia(away) | 2-2 | 1. Division |
| Jan 31, 2024 | Omonia Nicosia(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Pafos win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 AEK Larnaca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2024 | AEK Larnaca 1-0 Pafos | 1. Division |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Pafos 0-0 AEK Larnaca | 1. Division |
| May 21, 2023 | AEK Larnaca 1-1 Pafos | 1. Division |
| Apr 11, 2023 | Pafos 4-0 AEK Larnaca | 1. Division |
| Jan 4, 2023 | AEK Larnaca 1-0 Pafos | 1. Division |
| Sep 18, 2022 | Pafos 1-0 AEK Larnaca | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Pafos score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; AEK Larnaca score 1.8 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pafos | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| AEK Larnaca | 1.8 | 0.8 | 7 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pafos sit 4th in 1. Division (62 points from 36 matches) and AEK Larnaca sit 2nd (69 points from 36 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | AEK Larnaca | 36 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 62 | 33 | 69 |
| 4 | Pafos | 36 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 66 | 38 | 62 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy