Pafos vs AEK Larnaca: result 1-4 and analysis
1. DivisionRegular Season - 22Kick-off on January 31, 2021 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Stelios Kyriakides, Paphos
Full time
What was the result of Pafos vs AEK Larnaca?
AEK Larnaca won 1-4 on January 31, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 26′Nando GarcíaAEK Larnaca
- 56′O. ValakariPafos
- 64′Nando GarcíaAEK Larnaca
- 86′José NaranjoAEK Larnaca
- 90′A. MakrisAEK Larnaca
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pafos have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; AEK Larnaca have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2021 | Karmiotissa(away) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Jan 17, 2021 | Apoel Nicosia(home) | 2-3 | 1. Division |
| Jan 11, 2021 | Nea Salamis(away) | 0-2 | 1. Division |
| Jan 7, 2021 | Olympiakos(home) | 5-0 | 1. Division |
| Jan 3, 2021 | Ethnikos Achna(away) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2021 | Ermis(home) | 3-1 | 1. Division |
| Jan 18, 2021 | Doxa(away) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Jan 13, 2021 | Apoel Nicosia(away) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Jan 10, 2021 | Enosis(home) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Jan 6, 2021 | AEL(away) | 1-3 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Pafos win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 AEK Larnaca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2020 | AEK Larnaca 0-0 Pafos | 1. Division |
| Dec 14, 2019 | AEK Larnaca 1-0 Pafos | 1. Division |
| Aug 30, 2019 | Pafos 0-2 AEK Larnaca | 1. Division |
| Jan 2, 2019 | AEK Larnaca 1-1 Pafos | 1. Division |
| Dec 8, 2018 | Pafos 1-0 AEK Larnaca | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Pafos score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; AEK Larnaca score 1.2 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pafos | 1.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| AEK Larnaca | 1.2 | 1.0 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pafos sit 4th in 1. Division (62 points from 36 matches) and AEK Larnaca sit 2nd (69 points from 36 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | AEK Larnaca | 36 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 62 | 33 | 69 |
| 4 | Pafos | 36 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 66 | 38 | 62 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy