Match

Paganese vs Albalonga: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone GGroup G - 34Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Marcello Torre, Pagani

PaganeseAlbalonga

The Footlab AI model makes Paganese the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Albalonga. The most likely score is 1-1. If Paganese wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,422 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Paganese vs Albalonga?

A very open match: only 99 Elo points separate Paganese (1,698) and Albalonga (1,599).

49%26%25%
Paganese winDrawAlbalonga win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Paganese vs Albalonga

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Paganese

Not enough data to predict the Paganese lineup.

Albalonga

Not enough data to predict the Albalonga lineup.

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 04:05 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Paganese have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Albalonga have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Paganese
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Budoni(home)3-0Serie D - Girone G
Oct 7, 2026Real Normanna(home)1-1Coppa Italia Serie D
Oct 4, 2026Sarnese(away)1-2Serie D - Girone G
Sep 27, 2026Gelbison(home)2-3Serie D - Girone G
Sep 20, 2026Trastevere(away)6-1Serie D - Girone G
Albalonga
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Certosa V. Campagnano(home)0-0Serie D - Girone G
Oct 7, 2026Certosa V. Campagnano(away)1-4Coppa Italia Serie D
Oct 4, 2026Anzio(home)0-2Serie D - Girone G
Sep 27, 2026Monastir(away)2-2Serie D - Girone G
Sep 20, 2026Sarrabus Ogliastra(home)1-1Serie D - Girone G

How many goals should we expect?

Paganese score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Albalonga score 1.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Paganese1.81.348/159/15
Albalonga1.21.728/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Paganese sit 7th in Serie D - Girone G (10 points from 6 matches) and Albalonga sit 9th (8 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Paganese631214910
9Albalonga6222998

A question about Paganese vs Albalonga?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Paganese vs Albalonga?
The Footlab AI model makes Paganese the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Albalonga.
Where and when is Paganese vs Albalonga played?
Paganese vs Albalonga is played on May 2, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Marcello Torre, in the Serie D - Girone G.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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