Paganese vs Casarano: result 0-1 and analysis
Serie D - Girone HGroup H - 11Kick-off on November 12, 2023 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Marcello Torre, Pagani
Full time
What was the result of Paganese vs Casarano?
Casarano won 0-1 on November 12, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 25′?Casarano
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Paganese have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Casarano have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2023 | USD Palmese(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Nov 1, 2023 | Fidelis Andria(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Gelbison(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Rotonda(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 18, 2023 | San Marzano(away) | 2-2 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2023 | Angri Calcio(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Nov 1, 2023 | Città di Fasano(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Team Altamura(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Martina Franca(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 18, 2023 | Città di Fasano(away) | 3-3 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
How many goals should we expect?
Paganese score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Casarano score 1.6 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paganese | 1.3 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Casarano | 1.6 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Paganese | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 36 | 32 | 58 |
A question about Paganese vs Casarano?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy