Paganese vs Certosa V. Campagnano: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone GGroup G · Matchday 16Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Marcello Torre, Pagani
The Footlab AI model makes Paganese the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Certosa V. Campagnano. The most likely score is 1-1. If Paganese wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,703 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Paganese vs Certosa V. Campagnano?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Paganese (1,751) and Certosa V. Campagnano (1,729).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Paganese vs Certosa V. Campagnano
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Paganese
Not enough data to predict the Paganese lineup.
Certosa V. Campagnano
Not enough data to predict the Certosa V. Campagnano lineup.
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 02:02 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Paganese have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Certosa V. Campagnano have 6, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Sarrabus Ogliastra(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Ossese(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Città di Anagni(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Venafro(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Budoni(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Trastevere(home) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Budoni(away) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Turris(away) | 0-0 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Latte Dolce(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Monastir(home) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone G |
How many goals should we expect?
Paganese score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Certosa V. Campagnano score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paganese | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Certosa V. Campagnano | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/13 | 7/13 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Paganese sit 10th in Serie D - Girone G (14 points from 11 matches) and Certosa V. Campagnano sit 6th (17 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Certosa V. Campagnano | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 17 |
| 10 | Paganese | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 15 | 14 |
A question about Paganese vs Certosa V. Campagnano?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Paganese vs Certosa V. Campagnano?
- The Footlab AI model makes Paganese the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Certosa V. Campagnano.
- Where and when is Paganese vs Certosa V. Campagnano played?
- Paganese vs Certosa V. Campagnano is played on December 13, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Marcello Torre, in the Serie D - Girone G.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.