Paganese vs Latte Dolce: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone GGroup G - 19Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Marcello Torre, Pagani
The Footlab AI model makes Paganese the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Latte Dolce. The most likely score is 1-1. If Paganese wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,398 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Paganese vs Latte Dolce?
Paganese starts as the favourite with a 120-point Elo edge (1,716 vs 1,596).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Paganese vs Latte Dolce
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Paganese
Not enough data to predict the Paganese lineup.
Latte Dolce
Not enough data to predict the Latte Dolce lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 09:54 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Paganese have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Latte Dolce have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Budoni(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Real Normanna(home) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Sarnese(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Gelbison(home) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Trastevere(away) | 6-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Monastir(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Sarrabus Ogliastra(home) | 3-0 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Sarrabus Ogliastra(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Aranova(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Città di Anagni(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone G |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Paganese win, 1 draw, 1 Latte Dolce win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Latte Dolce 2-3 Paganese | Serie D - Girone G |
| May 4, 2025 | Paganese 1-1 Latte Dolce | Serie D - Girone G |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Latte Dolce 4-1 Paganese | Serie D - Girone G |
Last archived meeting: Latte Dolce vs Paganese on Sep 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Paganese score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Latte Dolce score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paganese | 1.8 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Latte Dolce | 1.5 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Paganese sit 7th in Serie D - Girone G (10 points from 6 matches) and Latte Dolce sit 16th (5 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Paganese | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 10 |
| 16 | Latte Dolce | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 5 |
A question about Paganese vs Latte Dolce?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Paganese vs Latte Dolce?
- The Footlab AI model makes Paganese the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Latte Dolce.
- Where and when is Paganese vs Latte Dolce played?
- Paganese vs Latte Dolce is played on January 10, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Marcello Torre, in the Serie D - Girone G.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.