Paganese vs Lupa Roma: result 3-2 and analysis
Serie D - Promotion - Play-offsPromotion Play-offs - Semi-finalsKick-off on May 14, 2023 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Marcello Torre, Pagani
Full time
What was the result of Paganese vs Lupa Roma?
Paganese won 3-2 on May 14, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 37′Francesco De FelicePaganese
- 72′G. SicurellaPaganese
- 86′?Paganese
- 90′?Lupa Roma
- 90′?Lupa Roma
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Paganese have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Lupa Roma have 5, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2023 | Tivoli(away) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 30, 2023 | Pomezia(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 23, 2023 | Lupa Roma(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 16, 2023 | Real Monterotondo(home) | 4-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 6, 2023 | Sarrabus Ogliastra(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2023 | Cassino(home) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 30, 2023 | Sorrento(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 23, 2023 | Paganese(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 16, 2023 | Sarrabus Ogliastra(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 6, 2023 | Ilvamaddalena(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Paganese win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Lupa Roma win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2023 | Lupa Roma 1-1 Paganese | Serie D - Girone G |
| Dec 11, 2022 | Paganese 1-0 Lupa Roma | Serie D - Girone G |
Last archived meeting: Lupa Roma vs Paganese on Apr 23, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Paganese score 1.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Lupa Roma score 1.3 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paganese | 1.9 | 1.0 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Lupa Roma | 1.3 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy