Paganese vs Lupa Roma: result 3-2 and analysis
Serie D - Promotion - Play-offsPromotion Play-offs - Semi-finalsKick-off on May 14, 2023 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Marcello Torre, Pagani
Full time
What was the result of Paganese vs Lupa Roma?
Paganese won 3-2 on May 14, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 37′Francesco De FelicePaganese
- 72′G. SicurellaPaganese
- 86′?Paganese
- 90′?Lupa Roma
- 90′?Lupa Roma
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Paganese have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Lupa Roma have 5, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2023 | Tivoli(away) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 30, 2023 | Pomezia(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 23, 2023 | Lupa Roma(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 16, 2023 | Real Monterotondo(home) | 4-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 6, 2023 | Sarrabus Ogliastra(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2023 | Cassino(home) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 30, 2023 | Sorrento(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 23, 2023 | Paganese(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 16, 2023 | Sarrabus Ogliastra(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 6, 2023 | Ilvamaddalena(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Paganese win, 1 draw, 0 Lupa Roma wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2023 | Lupa Roma 1-1 Paganese | Serie D - Girone G |
| Dec 11, 2022 | Paganese 1-0 Lupa Roma | Serie D - Girone G |
Last archived meeting: Lupa Roma vs Paganese on Apr 23, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Paganese score 1.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Lupa Roma score 1.3 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paganese | 1.9 | 1.0 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Lupa Roma | 1.3 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Paganese vs Lupa Roma?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy