Paganese vs Messina: result 4-4 and analysis
Serie C - Girone CGirone C - 1Kick-off on August 28, 2021 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Marcello Torre, Pagani
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What was the result of Paganese vs Messina?
Paganese and Messina drew 4-4 on August 28, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 11′R. RussoMessina
- 26′Luigi CastaldoPaganese
- 43′I. BaldéMessina (pen.)
- 50′G. MorelliMessina
- 63′L. SimonettiMessina
- 66′Michele MuroloPaganese
- 89′F. PiovaccariPaganese
- 90′Luigi CastaldoPaganese
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Paganese have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Messina have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2021 | Foggia(away) | 0-2 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| May 22, 2021 | Bisceglie(home) | 3-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| May 15, 2021 | Bisceglie(away) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| May 2, 2021 | Casertana(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Apr 25, 2021 | Potenza(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2021 | Juve Stabia(away) | 3-2 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Mar 1, 2020 | Licata(home) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Feb 23, 2020 | Roccella(away) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Feb 16, 2020 | Cittanovese(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Feb 9, 2020 | Marsala(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Paganese win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Messina win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2017 | Paganese 2-0 Messina | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 2, 2016 | Messina 0-2 Paganese | Serie C - Girone A |
How many goals should we expect?
Paganese score 0.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Messina score 1.2 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paganese | 0.7 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Messina | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy