Paganese vs Real Acerrana: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie D - Girone HGroup H - 4Kick-off on September 24, 2025 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Marcello Torre, Pagani
Full time
What was the result of Paganese vs Real Acerrana?
Paganese won 1-0 on September 24, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 17′V. LabriolaPaganese
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Paganese have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Real Acerrana have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2025 | Fidelis Andria(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Heraclea(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Nardò(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Ischia(home) | 2-0 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| May 4, 2025 | Latte Dolce(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2025 | Real Normanna(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Ferrandina(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Martina Franca(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Afragolese(home) | 0-2 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| May 4, 2025 | Gravina(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
How many goals should we expect?
Paganese score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Real Acerrana score 0.9 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paganese | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Real Acerrana | 0.9 | 1.5 | 1 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Paganese sit 4th in Serie D - Girone H (58 points from 34 matches) and Real Acerrana sit 18th (14 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Paganese | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 36 | 32 | 58 |
| 18 | Real Acerrana | 34 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 20 | 74 | 14 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy