Paganese vs Sarnese: result 2-1 and analysis
Serie D - Girone HGroup H - 8Kick-off on October 19, 2025 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Marcello Torre, Pagani
Full time
What was the result of Paganese vs Sarnese?
Paganese won 2-1 on October 19, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 10′582718Paganese
- 15′V. LabriolaPaganese
- 25′582740Sarnese
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Paganese have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Sarnese have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2025 | Pompei(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 8, 2025 | Savoia(away) | 1-2 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Virtus Francavilla(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Francavilla(away) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 24, 2025 | Real Acerrana(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2025 | Real Normanna(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 8, 2025 | Martina Franca(away) | 1-3 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Ferrandina(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Martina Franca(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 24, 2025 | Manfredonia(away) | 2-4 | Serie D - Girone H |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Paganese wins, 0 draws, 1 Sarnese win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2025 | Sarnese 1-0 Paganese | Serie D - Girone G |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Paganese 1-0 Sarnese | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Sarnese 1-2 Paganese | Coppa Italia Serie D |
How many goals should we expect?
Paganese score 1.0 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Sarnese score 1.3 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paganese | 1.0 | 0.8 | 5 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
| Sarnese | 1.3 | 1.8 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Paganese sit 4th in Serie D - Girone H (58 points from 34 matches) and Sarnese sit 13th (41 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Paganese | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 36 | 32 | 58 |
| 13 | Sarnese | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 51 | 49 | 41 |
A question about Paganese vs Sarnese?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy