Paganese vs Sarnese: result 2-1 and analysis
Serie D - Girone HGroup H - 8Kick-off on October 19, 2025 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Marcello Torre, Pagani
Full time
What was the result of Paganese vs Sarnese?
Paganese won 2-1 on October 19, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 10′582718Paganese
- 15′V. LabriolaPaganese
- 25′582740Sarnese
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Paganese have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Sarnese have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2025 | Pompei(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 8, 2025 | Savoia(away) | 1-2 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Virtus Francavilla(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Francavilla(away) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 24, 2025 | Real Acerrana(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2025 | Real Normanna(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 8, 2025 | Martina Franca(away) | 1-3 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Ferrandina(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Martina Franca(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 24, 2025 | Manfredonia(away) | 2-4 | Serie D - Girone H |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Paganese win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Sarnese win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2025 | Sarnese 1-0 Paganese | Serie D - Girone G |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Paganese 1-0 Sarnese | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Sarnese 1-2 Paganese | Coppa Italia Serie D |
How many goals should we expect?
Paganese score 1.0 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Sarnese score 1.3 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paganese | 1.0 | 0.8 | 5 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
| Sarnese | 1.3 | 1.8 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Paganese sit 4th in Serie D - Girone H (58 points from 34 matches) and Sarnese sit 13th (41 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Paganese | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 36 | 32 | 58 |
| 13 | Sarnese | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 51 | 49 | 41 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy