Pakhtakor vs Esteghlal FC: result 2-1 and analysis
AFC Champions League Elite8th FinalsKick-off on September 26, 2020 at 05:45 PM (UTC)Paxtakor Markaziy Stadion, Tashkent
Full time
What was the result of Pakhtakor vs Esteghlal FC?
Pakhtakor won 2-1 on September 26, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 32′A. KarimiEsteghlal FC
- 43′D. ĆeranPakhtakor
- 47′E. DerdiyokPakhtakor
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pakhtakor have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Esteghlal FC have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2020 | Padideh Khorasan(away) | 1-0 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Sep 20, 2020 | Shabab Al Ahli Dubai(away) | 0-0 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Sep 14, 2020 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC(away) | 1-2 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Sep 8, 2020 | Metalourg(away) | 3-0 | Super League |
| Sep 5, 2020 | Buxoro(away) | 4-0 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2020 | Al-Ahli Jeddah(home) | 3-0 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Sep 20, 2020 | Al Shorta(home) | 1-1 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Sep 3, 2020 | Tractor Sazi(home) | 2-3 | Hazfi Cup |
| Aug 26, 2020 | Persepolis FC(away) | 0-0 | Hazfi Cup |
| Aug 20, 2020 | Shahin Bushehr(away) | 4-1 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
How many goals should we expect?
Pakhtakor score 2.7 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Esteghlal FC score 1.6 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pakhtakor | 2.7 | 0.5 | 9 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Esteghlal FC | 1.6 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pakhtakor sit 8th in AFC Champions League Elite (7 points from 8 matches) and Esteghlal FC sit 6th (9 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Esteghlal FC | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 9 |
| 8 | Pakhtakor | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 7 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy