Paksi SE II vs Érdi VSE: prediction and stats
NB III - SouthwestSouthwest - 18Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Paksi FC Stadion, Paks
The Footlab model makes Érdi VSE the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Paksi SE II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Paksi SE II vs Érdi VSE?
Érdi VSE starts as the favourite with a 125-point Elo edge (1,497 vs 1,372).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Paksi SE II have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Érdi VSE have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Iváncsa(home) | 0-2 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Ferencváros II(home) | 2-2 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Érdi VSE(away) | 1-3 | NB III - Southwest |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Majosi(away) | 2-2 | NB III - Southwest |
| May 24, 2026 | Szekszárd(away) | 2-3 | NB III - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Iváncsa(home) | 0-3 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dunaharaszti MTK(away) | 1-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Paksi SE II(home) | 3-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Budaörs(home) | 3-3 | NB III - Southwest |
| May 24, 2026 | Majosi(away) | 3-3 | NB III - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Paksi SE II win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Érdi VSE win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Érdi VSE 3-1 Paksi SE II | NB III - Southwest |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Paksi SE II 2-3 Érdi VSE | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Érdi VSE 0-2 Paksi SE II | NB III - Southwest |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Paksi SE II 0-0 Érdi VSE | NB III - Southwest |
| Sep 9, 2023 | Érdi VSE 2-0 Paksi SE II | NB III - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: Érdi VSE vs Paksi SE II on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Paksi SE II score 1.5 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Érdi VSE score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paksi SE II | 1.5 | 2.1 | 1 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| Érdi VSE | 1.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Paksi SE II sit 13th in NB III - Southwest (2 points from 4 matches) and Érdi VSE sit 9th (5 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Érdi VSE | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 5 |
| 13 | Paksi SE II | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Paksi SE II vs Érdi VSE?
- The Footlab model makes Érdi VSE the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Paksi SE II.
- Where and when is Paksi SE II vs Érdi VSE played?
- Paksi SE II vs Érdi VSE is played on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Paksi FC Stadion, in the NB III - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.