Paksi SE II vs MTK Budapest II: prediction and stats
NB III - SouthwestSouthwest - 6Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC)Paksi FC Stadion, Paks
The Footlab model makes MTK Budapest II the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Paksi SE II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Paksi SE II vs MTK Budapest II?
MTK Budapest II starts as the favourite with a 138-point Elo edge (1,513 vs 1,375).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Paksi SE II have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; MTK Budapest II have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Iváncsa(home) | 0-2 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Ferencváros II(home) | 2-2 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Érdi VSE(away) | 1-3 | NB III - Southwest |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Majosi(away) | 2-2 | NB III - Southwest |
| May 24, 2026 | Szekszárd(away) | 2-3 | NB III - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Budaörs(away) | 0-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Siofok(away) | 1-2 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Szekszárd(home) | 8-0 | NB III - Southwest |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Budafoki LC(home) | 4-2 | NB III - Southwest |
| May 24, 2026 | Nagykanizsai ULE(away) | 0-1 | NB III - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Paksi SE II win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 MTK Budapest II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Paksi SE II 2-1 MTK Budapest II | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 27, 2025 | MTK Budapest II 3-0 Paksi SE II | NB III - Southwest |
| Nov 17, 2024 | MTK Budapest II 1-3 Paksi SE II | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 3, 2024 | Paksi SE II 3-1 MTK Budapest II | NB III - Southwest |
| Nov 26, 2023 | MTK Budapest II 2-1 Paksi SE II | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 2, 2023 | Paksi SE II 4-3 MTK Budapest II | NB III - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: Paksi SE II vs MTK Budapest II on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Paksi SE II score 1.5 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; MTK Budapest II score 1.9 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paksi SE II | 1.5 | 2.1 | 1 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| MTK Budapest II | 1.9 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Paksi SE II sit 13th in NB III - Southwest (2 points from 4 matches) and MTK Budapest II sit 7th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | MTK Budapest II | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 6 |
| 13 | Paksi SE II | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Paksi SE II vs MTK Budapest II?
- The Footlab model makes MTK Budapest II the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Paksi SE II.
- Where and when is Paksi SE II vs MTK Budapest II played?
- Paksi SE II vs MTK Budapest II is played on August 29, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC) at Paksi FC Stadion, in the NB III - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.