Palmeiras vs Gremio: result 4-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 5Kick-off on May 11, 2023 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Allianz Parque, São Paulo, São Paulo
Full time
What was the result of Palmeiras vs Gremio?
Palmeiras won 4-1 on May 11, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 24′Raphael VeigaPalmeiras
- 45′BitelloGremio
- 56′Raphael VeigaPalmeiras (pen.)
- 68′MaykePalmeiras
- 73′LuanPalmeiras
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Palmeiras have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Gremio have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2023 | Goias(away) | 5-0 | Serie A |
| May 4, 2023 | Barcelona SC(away) | 2-0 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Apr 29, 2023 | Corinthians(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Apr 26, 2023 | Tombense(away) | 1-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Apr 23, 2023 | Vasco DA Gama(away) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2023 | RB Bragantino(home) | 3-3 | Serie A |
| Apr 30, 2023 | Cuiaba(away) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Apr 28, 2023 | ABC(home) | 1-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Apr 23, 2023 | Cruzeiro(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Apr 16, 2023 | Santos(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Palmeiras win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Gremio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2021 | Gremio 1-3 Palmeiras | Serie A |
| Jul 7, 2021 | Palmeiras 2-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| Mar 7, 2021 | Palmeiras 2-0 Gremio | Copa Do Brasil |
| Mar 1, 2021 | Gremio 0-1 Palmeiras | Copa Do Brasil |
| Jan 16, 2021 | Palmeiras 1-1 Gremio | Serie A |
| Sep 20, 2020 | Gremio 1-1 Palmeiras | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Palmeiras score 2.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Gremio score 1.8 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palmeiras | 2.0 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Gremio | 1.8 | 0.8 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Palmeiras sit 1st in Serie A (48 points from 23 matches) and Gremio sit 15th (25 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 40 | 19 | 48 |
| 15 | Gremio | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 30 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy