Paloma vs Altona 93: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HamburgHamburg - 12Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Jonny Rehbein Sportplatz, Hamburg
The Footlab model makes Paloma the favourite at 60%, against 18% for a draw and 22% for Altona 93. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Paloma vs Altona 93?
Paloma starts as the favourite with a 131-point Elo edge (1,907 vs 1,777).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Paloma have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Altona 93 have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Pinneberg(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Victoria Hamburg(away) | 5-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Vorwärts-Wacker 04(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 24, 2026 | HT16(away) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 15, 2026 | Türkiye(away) | 6-0 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Teutonia Ottensen(home) | 6-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Tus Dassendorf(away) | 0-6 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sasel(home) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Süderelbe(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Bremer SV(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Paloma win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Altona 93 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2025 | Altona 93 0-0 Paloma | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Paloma 2-4 Altona 93 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Altona 93 2-2 Paloma | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 6, 2023 | Paloma 1-3 Altona 93 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jan 29, 2023 | Paloma 0-4 Altona 93 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 27, 2022 | Altona 93 0-0 Paloma | Oberliga - Hamburg |
How many goals should we expect?
Paloma score 2.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Altona 93 score 1.5 and concede 2.9. The model gives a 83% probability of over 2.5 goals and 78% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paloma | 2.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| Altona 93 | 1.5 | 2.9 | 0 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Paloma | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 84 | 50 | 61 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Paloma vs Altona 93?
- The Footlab model makes Paloma the favourite at 60%, against 18% for a draw and 22% for Altona 93.
- Where and when is Paloma vs Altona 93 played?
- Paloma vs Altona 93 is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Jonny Rehbein Sportplatz, in the Oberliga - Hamburg.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 83% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.