Panthouriakos vs Iraklis Xylokastro: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 7Group 7 - 3Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Gipedo Messiniakos, Kalamata
The Footlab AI model makes Panthouriakos the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Iraklis Xylokastro. The most likely score is 1-1. If Panthouriakos wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Panthouriakos vs Iraklis Xylokastro?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Panthouriakos (1,561) and Iraklis Xylokastro (1,591).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Panthouriakos vs Iraklis Xylokastro
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Panthouriakos
Not enough data to predict the Panthouriakos lineup.
Iraklis Xylokastro
Not enough data to predict the Iraklis Xylokastro lineup.
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 11:09 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Panthouriakos have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Iraklis Xylokastro have 2, 1 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Telos Agras(away) | 2-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 7 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Panargiakos(home) | 0-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 7 |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Panachaiki FC(away) | 1-4 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Ermis Meligous(home) | 3-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Thyella Patras(away) | 0-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Asteras Amaliadas(home) | 4-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 7 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Panthyreatikos(away) | 2-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 7 |
| Oct 28, 2020 | Koronida Koiladas(home) | 0-0 | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Panthouriakos score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Iraklis Xylokastro score 2.0 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panthouriakos | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Iraklis Xylokastro | 2.0 | 0.7 | 2 | 1/3 | 1/3 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Panthouriakos sit 4th in Gamma Ethniki - Group 7 (4 points from 2 matches) and Iraklis Xylokastro sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Iraklis Xylokastro | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Panthouriakos | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
A question about Panthouriakos vs Iraklis Xylokastro?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Panthouriakos vs Iraklis Xylokastro?
- The Footlab AI model makes Panthouriakos the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Iraklis Xylokastro.
- Where and when is Panthouriakos vs Iraklis Xylokastro played?
- Panthouriakos vs Iraklis Xylokastro is played on October 11, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Gipedo Messiniakos, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.