Match

PAO Kristoni vs Makedonikos Neapolis: prediction and stats

Gamma Ethniki - Group 2Group 2 - 22Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Gipedo Kristonis, Kristoni

PAO KristoniMakedonikos Neapolis

The Footlab model makes PAO Kristoni the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Makedonikos Neapolis. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win PAO Kristoni vs Makedonikos Neapolis?

A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate PAO Kristoni (1,537) and Makedonikos Neapolis (1,478).

PAO Kristoni win52 %
Draw26 %
Makedonikos Neapolis win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, PAO Kristoni have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Makedonikos Neapolis have 2, 3 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

PAO Kristoni
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 8, 2026Kilkisiakos(away)0-2Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Apr 5, 2026Orestis Orestiadas(home)3-1Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Apr 1, 2026Thermaikos Thermis(away)2-3Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Mar 28, 2026Apollon Krya Vrysi(home)1-3Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Mar 22, 2026PAOK Dytiko(away)2-0Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Makedonikos Neapolis
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 26, 2026PAOK II(away)1-3Super League 2
Apr 22, 2026Kavala(away)1-5Super League 2
Apr 18, 2026Kampaniakos Chalastra(home)4-3Super League 2
Apr 8, 2026Nestos Chrisoupolis(home)0-2Super League 2
Apr 5, 2026PAS Giannina(away)2-2Super League 2

How many goals should we expect?

PAO Kristoni score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Makedonikos Neapolis score 1.0 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
PAO Kristoni1.51.367/157/15
Makedonikos Neapolis1.02.319/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for PAO Kristoni vs Makedonikos Neapolis?
The Footlab model makes PAO Kristoni the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Makedonikos Neapolis.
Where and when is PAO Kristoni vs Makedonikos Neapolis played?
PAO Kristoni vs Makedonikos Neapolis is played on February 28, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Gipedo Kristonis, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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