Match

PAOK vs Asteras Tripolis: prediction and stats

Super League 1Regular Season - 9Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Toumbas, Thessaloníki

PAOKAsteras Tripolis

The Footlab AI model makes PAOK the favourite at 61%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for Asteras Tripolis. The most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win PAOK vs Asteras Tripolis?

PAOK starts as the favourite with a 286-point Elo edge (2,157 vs 1,871).

61%23%16%
PAOK winDrawAsteras Tripolis win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for PAOK vs Asteras Tripolis

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

PAOK

4-2-3-1
  1. 27C. Ndiaye
  1. 14A. Živković
  2. 20C. Zafeiris
  3. 10D. Pelkas
  4. 22T. Ali
  5. 18K. Jakić
  1. 3J. Kenny
  2. 5G. Michailidis
  3. 21A. Baba
  4. 6Elustondo
  1. 1J. Pavlenka

Asteras Tripolis

3-4-3
  1. 11K. Ketu
  2. 7J. Bartolo
  3. 9F. Macheda
  1. 27G. Kotsiras
  2. 10Eder González
  3. 28Alex Méndez
  4. 21D. Kourbelis
  1. 32J. Silva
  2. 16F. Brorsson
  3. 74D. Laskaris
  1. 1N. Papadopoulos

Computed on October 9, 2026 at 02:33 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, PAOK have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Asteras Tripolis have 4, 7 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

PAOK
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 20, 2026Panetolikos(away)3-1Super League 1
Sep 16, 2026Atromitos(away)1-0Cup
Sep 13, 2026Aris Thessalonikis(home)2-0Super League 1
Sep 6, 2026Panathinaikos(away)1-3Super League 1
Sep 2, 2026OFI(home)0-0Cup
Asteras Tripolis
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 20, 2026OFI(away)2-2Super League 1
Sep 16, 2026Niki Volos(away)3-0Cup
Sep 13, 2026AEK Athens FC(home)1-1Super League 1
Sep 10, 2026Aris Thessalonikis(home)1-1Cup
Sep 7, 2026Iraklis 1908(home)0-2Super League 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 5 PAOK wins, 1 draw, 0 Asteras Tripolis wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 1, 2026PAOK 2-0 Asteras TripolisSuper League 1
Sep 28, 2025Asteras Tripolis 3-3 PAOKSuper League 1
Mar 2, 2025PAOK 2-0 Asteras TripolisSuper League 1
Nov 24, 2024Asteras Tripolis 1-2 PAOKSuper League 1
Dec 17, 2023Asteras Tripolis 1-4 PAOKSuper League 1
Aug 20, 2023PAOK 3-0 Asteras TripolisSuper League 1

Last archived meeting: PAOK vs Asteras Tripolis on Mar 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

PAOK score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Asteras Tripolis score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
PAOK1.71.259/158/15
Asteras Tripolis1.11.148/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

PAOK sit 2nd in Super League 1 (12 points from 5 matches) and Asteras Tripolis sit 12th (2 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2PAOK540112512
12Asteras Tripolis5023492

A question about PAOK vs Asteras Tripolis?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for PAOK vs Asteras Tripolis?
The Footlab AI model makes PAOK the favourite at 61%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for Asteras Tripolis.
Where and when is PAOK vs Asteras Tripolis played?
PAOK vs Asteras Tripolis is played on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Toumbas, in the Super League 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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