PAOK vs Atromitos: prediction and stats
Super League 1Regular Season - 23Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Toumbas, Thessaloníki
The Footlab model makes PAOK the favourite at 67%, against 21% for a draw and 13% for Atromitos. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win PAOK vs Atromitos?
PAOK starts as the favourite with a 204-point Elo edge (2,070 vs 1,866).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, PAOK have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Atromitos have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Levadiakos(home) | 4-0 | Super League 1 |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Brann(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Anderlecht(away) | 2-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Anderlecht(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Dynamo Kyiv(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Olympiakos Piraeus(away) | 0-1 | Super League 1 |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Pyrgos 1968(home) | 3-1 | Cup |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Aris(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 21, 2026 | Panserraikos(home) | 6-0 | Super League 1 |
| May 16, 2026 | Larisa(away) | 1-2 | Super League 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 PAOK win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Atromitos win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2026 | PAOK 1-1 Atromitos | Cup |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Atromitos 2-0 PAOK | Super League 1 |
| Aug 31, 2025 | PAOK 1-0 Atromitos | Super League 1 |
| Dec 22, 2024 | PAOK 3-0 Atromitos | Super League 1 |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Atromitos 1-2 PAOK | Super League 1 |
| Feb 4, 2024 | Atromitos 0-2 PAOK | Super League 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
PAOK score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Atromitos score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PAOK | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Atromitos | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
PAOK sit 2nd in Super League 1 (3 points from 1 matches) and Atromitos sit 10th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | PAOK | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Atromitos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for PAOK vs Atromitos?
- The Footlab model makes PAOK the favourite at 67%, against 21% for a draw and 13% for Atromitos.
- Where and when is PAOK vs Atromitos played?
- PAOK vs Atromitos is played on February 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Toumbas, in the Super League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.