Match

PAOK vs Atromitos: prediction and stats

Super League 1Regular Season - 23Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Toumbas, Thessaloníki

PAOKAtromitos

The Footlab AI model makes PAOK the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Atromitos. The most likely score is 1-1. If PAOK wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win PAOK vs Atromitos?

PAOK starts as the favourite with a 210-point Elo edge (2,113 vs 1,903).

58%24%18%
PAOK winDrawAtromitos win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for PAOK vs Atromitos

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

PAOK

4-2-3-1
  1. 27C. Ndiaye
  1. 10D. Pelkas
  2. 20C. Zafeiris
  3. 18K. Jakić
  4. 11Taison
  5. 52D. Chatsidis
  1. 3J. Kenny
  2. 5G. Michailidis
  3. 21A. Baba
  4. 19Diego Costa
  1. 99A. Tsiftsis

Atromitos

4-3-3
  1. 7S. Zuber
  2. 10S. Pnevmonidis
  3. 9J. Perea
  1. 8S. Moutoussamy
  2. 5T. Tsingaras
  3. 14Dani García
  1. 21J. Uronen
  2. 4D. Stavrópoulos
  3. 32H. Magnússon
  4. 12M. Mountes
  1. 1L. Choutesiotis

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 12:06 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, PAOK have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Atromitos have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

PAOK
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 12, 2026Kalamata(home)1-3Super League 1
Sep 20, 2026Panetolikos(away)3-1Super League 1
Sep 16, 2026Atromitos(away)1-0Cup
Sep 13, 2026Aris Thessalonikis(home)2-0Super League 1
Sep 6, 2026Panathinaikos(away)1-3Super League 1
Atromitos
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Asteras Tripolis(away)1-2Super League 1
Sep 19, 2026Kifisia(home)1-2Super League 1
Sep 16, 2026PAOK(home)0-1Cup
Sep 12, 2026Iraklis 1908(away)1-1Super League 1
Sep 6, 2026Kalamata(home)1-1Super League 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 PAOK wins, 1 draw, 1 Atromitos win.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 16, 2026Atromitos 0-1 PAOKCup
Aug 30, 2026Atromitos 1-2 PAOKSuper League 1
Jan 6, 2026PAOK 1-1 AtromitosCup
Dec 14, 2025Atromitos 2-0 PAOKSuper League 1
Aug 31, 2025PAOK 1-0 AtromitosSuper League 1
Dec 22, 2024PAOK 3-0 AtromitosSuper League 1

Last archived meeting: Atromitos vs PAOK on Sep 16, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

PAOK score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Atromitos score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
PAOK1.71.359/159/15
Atromitos1.51.349/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

PAOK sit 4th in Super League 1 (12 points from 6 matches) and Atromitos sit 12th (2 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4PAOK640213812
12Atromitos6024592

A question about PAOK vs Atromitos?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for PAOK vs Atromitos?
The Footlab AI model makes PAOK the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Atromitos.
Where and when is PAOK vs Atromitos played?
PAOK vs Atromitos is played on February 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Toumbas, in the Super League 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: PAOK and Atromitos

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